It's almost that time... 2021 NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Aug 16, 2021.

  1. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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  2. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I imagine I have some loot to throw around if I can throw $5k on anytime touchdown scorer parlays so I'm riding it.

    I equate that to us having like $100 on it lol.
     
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  3. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    I got slammed today.

    Slapped a c-note down on Bills+3 w/the 57 over parley out of frustration... :mad:
     
  4. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Bro stoooop with the same game parlays... But I actually think the over is good to go in this one.

    You love high NFL overs.

    Trying to predict two outcomes in one game is so damn hard.
     
  5. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    I may have a problem... :confused:
     
  6. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Great call on the Mahomes rushing prop man. Easy money there to cash in the first half. Wish I took it.
     
  7. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    Squeezed a little something out of a bad betting day... :confused:
     
  8. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Yeah that felt good to get out of the way early lol .. tyreek to score has murdered me. Weeks i don’t play it, he goes for 3 ever week. Week i play it hes like scared of the endzone
     
  9. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I had the same problem with him on my fantasy team 2 years back--that's why he's taken too early.

    I've been using a hedging strategy that I think adds at least a few percent return over time. It can be used after making a single bet or a parley. I think its much better return than cashing out.

    For example, I took Texas against OK at +140 pre-game single. Then when texas was up big I took OK +10.5 giving myself a good chance of winning both bets. I put about 70% of the Texas bet on OK. When OK came back, I got a decent % of my Texas bet back and could have nearly doubled.

    Then yesterday I parlayed Green Bay with the raiders for +176. When green bay was up late in the game, I added Cinci +5.5 giving me the double shot which came in. I ended up losing on the parlay anyway when the raiders went down but mitigated the loss with the cinci money.

    The risks in these bets is that you give away some value to try to get double value or near. It requires that you are winning on your original bet at ML and then later you take the points on the opposite side.
     
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  10. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Smart strategy. I'm so damn stubborn to do that sometimes but I'm super pissed I didn't nab Oklahoma in applying that. They were obviously going to come back somewhat.

    I've been adding live though it bit me with the Chiefs and worked with the Packers, Chargers and Cowboys.
     
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  11. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Not playing much tonight. Have Ravens in my suicide pool tonight + need Balt D to score less than 17.

    Saw good value on these 3 plays

    First to score:
    Mo Allie Cox
    Jack Doyle
    Tyson Williams

    5 bucks on each

    Ravens aren't that good vs the TE and who tf knows what Balt is gonna do in the backfield.
     
  12. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I just got home in time for the Wentz fumble--grabbed Indy--Balt (and Lamar) haven't looked that good:

    10/11/218:42 PM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Indianapolis Colts (+135)
    Marlon Mack sighting!
     
    #692 IDFjet, Oct 11, 2021
    Last edited: Oct 11, 2021
  13. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Did my thing:

    DATETIME AMOUNTTOTAL BALANCE
    10/11/2111:01 PM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Baltimore Ravens +7.5 (+135)
     
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  14. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Sweat some bullets on that one. I had the Ravens ML -175 to start the game for 3U and took them live +5 for another 3U at 16-6. Also hit the over 46.

    You break even?
     
  15. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    nice man--haha--I had both sides at +135 so made a bit--would have won both if damn colts wouldn't have caved. Happy for Lamar tho. Great game!
     
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  16. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    No idea how I survived my suicide pool. Jesus christ
     
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  17. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Tuesday night football my man--Its gotta be a sucker play to take app state right? I'll watch and bet live here.


    But I did place this combo:


    10/12/214:06 PM
    Placed - 2 Team ParlayTo Win +312
    • Milwaukee Brewers (+137)(961) Milwaukee Brewers @ (962) Atlanta Braves
    • Chris Duncan (-135) Contender Series
     
  18. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    @IDFjet - any thoughts on App State/ULL tonight? I believe you watched them against Marshall a couple weeks back. I know they have that Clemson transfer at QB Brice who was god awful at Duke last year but his stat line looks decent.

    ULL has the mobile kid and they hung with Texas early when I saw them play (good running game) but got smoked in the second half.

    App State is -4.5. Opened at 4, saw it down to 3.5 and up to 5 all week.
     
  19. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Lol crazy. Same time. I took the Astros ML this morning and picked up the Giants at -135 last night in the 6th when they were up 1-0.

    Not sure what to think of in Brewers/Braves. The Brewers have been dreadful at the plate in this series, but they've also been dreadful all year at the plate. Morton is a big game arm, but we have to believe this series goes 5 right?

    I don't like the road team on a Tuesday night game at all but I feel like App State has the easiest test - stop the run, stop ULL...
     
    #699 Jonathan_Vilma, Oct 12, 2021
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2021
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  20. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I just can't see the Brewers going down this easy so thats the reason for my play--Lauer is only going to go a couple innings I'm pretty sure--You're right that Morton is tough.

    ULL has played tough--APP ST. is not what they were the last 2 years. ULL opened as a fav and then line quickly changed (according to vegas lines), I think APP looks like a winner to most but thats cause they think of them like they've been the last 2 years and they underestimate ULL. We should know within Q1. I put a small on ULL at +165 already.
     

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