It's almost that time... 2021 NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Aug 16, 2021.

  1. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    This could be me being a homer but DKs has the Jets as 5.5 point dogs @Carolina, which I think is kinda crazy. Probably gonna take the points there.
     
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  2. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    I was thinking taking the points and the over should be a good play here
     
  3. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, I think I'm going to hammer the Jets +5.5. It opened at 4.5.
     
  4. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I got St. Louis Cardinals +110 against Dodgers tonight if Wainwright pitches--he's been money lately.
     
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  5. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Should've taken it. I was up and down trying baseball yesterday. Usually hate it.

    Trying the over 9 in that game. Cardinals pitcher sucks and the Dodgers pitcher is back from injury.

    I also can't see the Buccaneers covering this spread if it keeps rising. The Cowboys are gonna score points and 8.5 and moving up is a lot. Also like the over.
     
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  6. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Played 2 props straight and a prop parlay for shits and giggles. Staying away from the spread, but gun to head I don't think Tampa covers.

    Rojo over 46.5 rushing yards
    Dak over 12.5 rushing


    Amari anytime score
    RoJo anytime score
    RoJo Over 44.5 rushing
    Dak Prescott longest TD pass 17+ yards
    +1200 juice on the parlay
     
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  7. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I'm real selective on baseball too--even with everything going St. Louis way last night they almost blew it. No denying Wainwright mastery this year--hes 40 years old! He caved in the 9th tho.

    I've already played dallas +8.5 in a parlay--I've seen this 100 times--Dallas probably wins this game. lol.

    Dallas Cowboys
    +9.0(-105)
    Point Spread
    Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    9/9/21, 8:20 PM
     
    #167 IDFjet, Sep 9, 2021
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2021
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  8. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Are the cowboys going to score? Last time I we saw the bucs they were shutting down one of the best offenses in the league. I kinda like the bucs -9 and the under 51 dk is offering right now
     
  9. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    The Cowboys have both tackles back, a full compliment of weapons and a healthy Dak. The Buccaneers defense started off slow last year as I imagine they will this year too. It feels like pass rushers don't intensify they're game until later in the year. The Buccs also have a couple boom or bust corners that love to jump routes. That can result in TDs either way. I might wait for the over live to come down 5-6 points because I generally expect a slower start.
     
  10. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Speaking of draftkings...

    They are offering a promo right now Tampa +73. Max bet 50 bucks. Free money
     
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  11. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    This is where I'm at with the matchup of that pass rush vs Dallas. I don't think Dallas will get much moving on the ground. Tampa is way better at stopping the run and are middle of the pack for pass D.
     
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  12. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Also - Draftkings is giving away a $50 bet at -105 with Buccs +73. Caesars is giving away if either team scores a point at -110 for a $50 max bet as well. And I think PointsBet has if Brady throws for a yard at +100 max bet $10. So NJ books giving some tree money away.


    Edit: @dawinner127 beat me to it.
     
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  13. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Just had my buddy in jersey login and bet that for me.
     
  14. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    He gave it to you and not for himself? What's your buddy's email?
     
  15. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    He placed my bet. Sent himself a referral link ,logged out and is now making an account and placing his bets. His wife always said i was a bad influence
     
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  16. Lon Chaney

    Lon Chaney Well-Known Member

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    I have BUCS -1.5 in a teaser with Ole Miss (winner Monday) for $250

    Throwing $50 to win $450 on Ronald Jones first TD.
     
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  17. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Damn good for you. Next time you need a jersey referral link let me know. I get em aplenty.
     
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  18. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Hey man--I was looking at this teaser bet--specifically the buc -1.5. On bovada that bet is -370.

    To get that same -370, one could get the cowboys +19.5.

    Based upon the historical margins of victory I can access, there is a less than 10% chance that any game will end with a margin of victory of more than 19 points.

    If you take the boys +19.5 you get the same odds, you get every cowboy win, and you get historically 90% of the games finishing at less than a 20 pt margin.

    How you bet it, you lose all cowboy wins and TB has to win by 2 pts or more.

    Where am I going wrong here?

    Bovada does not have the ole miss game up yet so I'm going to follow you with Rutgers instead.

    9/9/21
    7:49 PM
    Placed - 2 Team Parlay
    +127
    Dallas Cowboys +19.5 (-350)
    (451) Dallas Cowboys @ (452) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Rutgers (-130)
    (327) Rutgers @ (328) Syracuse
     
    #178 IDFjet, Sep 9, 2021
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2021
  19. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Looks like he probably did this as a 5 point teaser when the line was Buccs were -7.5. No way to combo the Cowboys to +19.5 unless in a traditional parlay.
     
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  20. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Ah, I got you bro--does one get better odds by playing a teaser rather than a parley with the same differentials?
     

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