I made my mock of the first round based on what I feel will happen, with a combination of the best player available and team needs. Jaguars- Trevor Lawrence QB - No brainer pick. One of the best prospects I’ve ever seen. Jets - Zach Wilson QB - The Gase/Darnold era is over and the Jets roll the dice with the live arm BYU quarterback. *Trade* - Carolina- Justin Fields QB - They keep Teddy and ease Fields into the NFL Falcons- Kyle Pitts TE - Gives Atlanta a Tony Gonzales threat once again. Bengals - Jamaar Chase WR - Everyone thinks it will be Sewell but Burrow bangs the table for Chase and they give it to him. Eagles - Davonte Smith WR - Eagles can thank Doug Perderson for an absolute amazing prospect in Davonta Smith. Lions - Micah Parsons LB - first defensive player off the board giving the Lions their QB on D. *Trade* Dolphins - Penei Sewell OT - Miami lands a nice piece for Tua. They move Jackson to RT and plug Sewell in at LT. Broncos - Patrick Surtain CB - Denver adds to their secondary with the best DB in the draft. Cowboys - Rashawn Slater OT - Dallas bolsters their depleted OL. *Trade* Patriots - Mac Jones QB - He just fits their scheme and the connection between Bill and Saban. They will need to move in front of San Fran. 49ers - Caleb Farley CB - They need guys at the CB position with Sherman/Verrett as free agents. Chargers - Gregory Rousseau EDGE - with Ingram a FA they bolster their DL. Vikings- Kwity Paye EDGE - They grab some help for Hunter on the line. *Trade* Giants - Jaylen Waddle WR - Giants add the deep threat they are missing. Cardinals- Jaycee Horn CB - Peterson is a FA and they need to fill that gaping hole with a nice prospect. Raiders - Ronnie Perkins EDGE- They need a pass rush. Dolphins- Jaelen Phillips EDGE - A kid from their own back yard to bolster their pass rush. Football Team - Christian Darrisaw OT - Washington adds a nice tackle to their depleted OL. Bears - Alijah Vera-Tucker G - Their interior line needs help. Colts - Joe Tryon EDGE- Colts need a pass rush. Titans - Jeremiah Owusu LB - Add a LB to their D as a position of need. Jets - Najee Harris RB - Jets need a star running back to take pressure of their new QB. Steelers - Landon Dickerson C - Pouncy retired LD can step in day 1. Jaguars - Jaylen Mayfield OT - Protect TL at all cost. Browns - Azeez Ojulari EDGE- Browns add more pass rushers to take some double teams off Garrett. Ravens - Nick Bolton LB - They add to their line backers room. Saints - Trey Lance QB - Let Lance develop behind Winston for a year or two and they could hit on this boom or bust prospect. Packers - Kadarius Toney WR - They need speed and quickness at the WR position. Bills - Greg Newsome CB - Add a stud with White in their secondary. Chiefs - Tevin Jenkins OT - Protect PM at all cost. Bucs - Carlos Basham DL - Plug another prospect on the DL to get to the QB Jets 2nd round - Tyson Campbell CB - A raw talent with excellent ball skills, long corner, with athleticism, decent speed, will match up on big receivers and give them problems especially in the red zone. I also like taking G Robert Hainsey in this spot however I think landing Royce Newman in the 3rd or 4th is almost as good and it’s hard to get a player like Tyson Campbell there. 3rd round - Payton Turner DE - In Saleh’s defence the front 4 are real important piece to the puzzle and keep adding prospects with pro size and athleticism will go a long way. Turner has all the measurables to become a solid pro. 3rd round (Sea) - Thomas Booker EDGE - Played well for Stanford all year. Definitely a boom or bust pick but has high upside with his physical attributes and football IQ. Could be the steal of the draft if it all comes together for him. 4th round - Royce Newman G - I love this kid from Ole Miss. He’s big, nasty, can pass protect and run block at a high level. He’s played both RT and guard. 5th round (NYG) - Marcus Murphy S - small school kid with huge upside. Smooth and athletic player with good speed. 6th round - Tre Nixon WR - He missed some time this year with injuries but has big time upside.
I always enjoy seeing the work that went into these mocks, especially since I don't want to do it. Thank you for putting in the effort. I would point out that linking Gase and Darnold as an "era" is somewhat misleading , it supposes that Darnold was Gase's choice for QB. From a personal point of view, I would prefer the Jets stay with Darnold (I still believe he has enough talent to play at a high NFL level) and use that #2 to trade down and grab one of the premier receivers plus whatever picks they can get in the trade. Nevertheless, my opinion does not mean it's going to happen and your selection of Wilson might be more in line with what will actually happen. I love the Harris pick at #23. The best way to relieve the pressure on your QB is to have a good running attack, even better than drafting another OL. There are some runners who don't need great blocking to shine and Harris can be one of those runners. He is worthy of a 1st round pick.
I like the mock, especially since you included Backfield Basham as a first round pick, he’s going to be a force on the Bucs if they draft him. The only thing I will disagree with you is on the 23 pick, I believe it will be an offensive lineman, and a RB will be selected in 3rd round.
I like the effort but don't agree with our picks or much of the top 10. No way Sewell falls to 8 or that Barrow would lobby for Chase over more protection. If we use the #2 on the ridiculously over hyped and unproven Wilson during a rebuild year I will begin losing faith in the FO.
Sewell falling had a lot to do with Cinci not taking him over Chase and him opting out with only 1 impressive soft more season. As for the top 10 it will definitely be a moving target as free Agency is upon us.
It’s tough Red because there are a lot of guards I like in the 2nd round. Hainsey from ND is a beast I’m super high on him and that’s my 34th pick I also really like Wyatt Davis with that 34th pick. I might actually finish the Jets picks on here for our fan base. if you can get 2 skilled playmakers in the first and add some muscle in the later rounds it’s a recipe for success usually
I don’t think Jets will take Wilson, I believe Jets will take Sewell and build a dominant oline. I know it’s not what people want to hear but it really would not surprise me if JD went that route.
Like I said I like your mock, you have some solid players being taken in top round, only thing is where they will be taken. Parsons is going to be great, Basham is also going to be a playmaker, Sewell might go higher, than 8th, Wilson might drop and be taken top 15 or 23rd by Jets.
I don’t see him taking Sewell at all. I don’t think you can trust it at 2 overall without playing a snap last season. If Sewell is a Jet it’s because we traded back and he fell in our lap.
I’m not sold on Wilson and I’m not sold on Sewell either. This is how I think it pans out and not what I would do if I’m JD. Sewell has such a small body of work and so does Wilson. It’s a hard question.. If I had a gun to my head I’d take Wilson just because Becton is on the squad already. If I’m sitting in the big chair I’m trading back any way I can. I’m still trading Sam and getting more picks for next year. In my opinion the QB should be one of the last pieces to the puzzle. You need playmakers first to support a FQB. I get the argument of then just keep Sam and trade back. But Sam in my opinion isn’t good enough. My eyes tell me he just can’t read the game fast enough. So, unless you trade him now while you can still get something for him because he won’t be worth anything next year just like Trubisky.
So you would take Wilson if you couldn’t trade back, even though the consensus is Sewell is the 2nd best player in the draft and not Wilson. Thanks for the honest answer, if I’m Joe and can’t trade back because no one wants to give me true value for 2nd pick I would take Sewell over Wilson. I do agree that Jets will trade down.
We will be able to trade back. The question is will we be able to trade back to where we want to be to still get the top 10 player we want. Both Saleh and JD seem to be build up front first guys. One of our first rounders will be a linemen.
Sewell may be the 2nd best non-QB in the draft, but that doesn't account for value/impact to a team. And yes, there is far more risk in drafting a QB than any other position which makes drafting any of the other positions seem "safer", and therefore a better pick. But if a team doesn't have a FQB that has to be the priority, and they'd better do their best due diligence to make sure they get the right one. This doesn't mean that Douglas has to draft Wilson (or any other QB) at #2 of course. Maybe he believes Sam can still be his FQB, or maybe he gets Watson, or even a cheaper vet. But in regards to your statement, there are really two scales: one for QBs and one for everybody else.
I do understand the value you speak of, when the Colts drafted a guard with the 6th overall pick a couple of years ago I’m sure very few people thought it was the best and most impactful selection they would make for the teams longterm benefit. It’s good thing the GM doesn’t take the fans perspective into consideration when he made that selection, team is poised to be a consistent playoff team because of their stability on their offensive line. Their coach has proven to be more of a liability than the oline has, to be honest. I’m still excited about the draft and whatever or whoever Jets draft, I’m sure board will be split but in JD I trust.
I understand that POV. At one point I was really leaning towards Sewell with the #2 pick for reasons you gave, but I since came to the conclusion that Wilson (and all but Trask) having greater upside - by a lot - over Darnold based on what I've seen - so getting Darnold's replacement trumps anything else. But as I said, maybe Douglas either doesn't agree that Darnold needs to go, or he has another plan for replacing him than using that #2 pick. In the end, I'm like you: I trust in JDs knowledge and ability more than my own (or anyone else's here).
You know whoever it is half the board will be pissed and the other half will be happy. I honestly think Jaguars will throw a curveball into the draft and select Wilson and Jets will end up with Lawrence.
I don't expect a RB to be taken in round 1. There are some good prospects who will be available on day 2.
This is a view I don't understand. He has been here 1 year and his record is 2-14. He has admitted making mistakes like allowing Anderson to walk. Of the 2020 picks he made, only two, Becton and Hall, have been good, and both those picks involved some luck, a few show promise, the rest you can't say one way or the other and one was a bust. I usually don't call 6th round picks busts, but Mann was a highly touted punter and turned out no better than Edwards. Douglas may turn out to be an excellent GM, but so far he has done nothing to earn my trust. As they say, the proof is in the pudding. Put a winning team on the field, then comes the trust.
You make a fair point, but the pandemic has disrupted a lot of what teams want to do and how players developed. The only teams that navigated the pandemic were the teams that were already established. JD does not coach or set up a game plan on a weekly basis, you are lumping in Adam Gase, Williams, Patton Oswalt and a terrible Sam Darnold in the same mix as JD. Now that Gase, Williams, and hopefully Darnold will be gone soon as well, he can continue building the foundation for this team. If you can’t separate what he inherited versus what he is trying to build I can respect that, this years team should be more of a reflection of JDs team. I still support your ideology that I want to see results, but it doesn’t hurt to get excited about the process.
