NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 12, 2020.

  1. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Ok good because now I hope FL doesn't cover and out right loses (as I'm an FSU fan) I don't mind losing my Longshot parlays but I just hate losing by 1 game (it really bothers me).

    I'm about to win my $130 back on a $30 4 team parlay Miami ML, UL, Indiana & Notre Dame for $378 in return but that shit doesn't excite me like a chance to win $5k would've fk it I'm about to put the whole $378 on a Michigan/Harbaugh upset ML for $1209 in return with +220 odds. That will excite me 25% ha but damnit man do I wish USC would've covered I'd be playing with all house money right now with a chance at $5k off $130 oh well let's go Michigan @ home!
     
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  2. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Don't get greedy man - that's a nice win as it is.
     
  3. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Thnx man but I got greedy I was so close to $5k to the point where $378 in return bummed me out and I had $160 invested $130 on my 6 pick and $30 on my backup 4 pick so winning $218 after $5K was staring me in my face is just a meh feeling but I already pulled the trigger took the whole $378 on Michigan ML for $1,209 in return. If I hit tonight, tomorrow I will be a 35 yo man with a PS5 lol and my wife is already talking about a mini shopping spree ahhhhh I love it.

    I came too far today to walk away with nothing tonight win or lose there's always tomorrow NFL Sundayyyyy.

    As an NYJ fan I preach Jim Harbaugh so after a disgusting USC loss tonight I had to put my Jim Harbaugh winning money where my mouth is lol
     
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  4. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Oregon -2.5 probably isn't a bad live bet. I was able to get them +0.5 (better than the ML by 1 point for some reason) right as they completed the bomb before half.
     
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  5. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Lions line came flying down to -3 from -5.5. Something's up there.

    Browns/Texans over/under dropped from 54 to 45 with bad wind and rain concerns. Should still be some scoring though. Tempting but I'll probably pass.

    Anyone have anything they absolutely love? Lions -3 is still the best thing I'm seeing to 1pm.

    I've flipped to the Buccaneers laying the points now too. Might buy it down to 5. Brady is something ridiculous like 19-5 ATS after a loss.
     
  6. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    I went 5-1 on my parlay ticket that would've paid over $5k yesterday smh so today I'm just going to take a break, relax and have fun just watching games like Jax/Seattle etc.

    But the games I like are...

    TB over -6.5 over Carolina (expecting Brady and TB to come out on fire coming off a bad loss).

    Raiders -3.5 over Denver (Carr is balling out with 16 TDs/2 INT's).

    Steelers -7.5 over Bengals (8-0 vs 2-5-1) and i expect for Pittsburgh's nasty pass rush to really welcome Joe Burrow into the NFL today; expecting Burrow to have a really bad game on the road @ Pittsburgh (while Pitt dreams of an undefeated season). Big Ben is my 2020 MVP thus far.

    Ravens -7.0 over N.E (Patriots are bad, really bad to the point they needed a last second FG to beat our lowly Jets) and I'm looking for Lamar Jackson to explode and Baltimore as a tough team to kick N.E while their down.

    Saints -9.5 over the injury depleted 49ers @ home in NO with Michael Thomas finally returning. Brees 17 TD's/3 INTs and I don't believe San Francisco has a fighting chance tonight in expecting a 20+ point blowout.

    Those are my favorite 5 picks today.

    Upset alert: Underdogs who I believe can win on a ML for + payouts (on a separate ticket).

    Buffalo Bills ML over Arizona (I hate to say it but Josh Allen is absolutely balling with 19 TDs/5 INTs) and I'm scared to bet against Buffalo these days.

    Seattle ML over Rams (yea Seattle's defense is horrible but Jamal Adams will begin to fly around and make plays out there once he gets his feet wet and Russell Wilson. 28 TDs/8 INTs. MVP type of QB; and I'm not betting against him.

    Chargers ML over Miami. Tua is going to have to SHOW ME that he's better than Justin Herbert who's having the greatest Rookie season All-Time (yes. Better than Burrow's) @ 17 TDs/5 INTs QB Rating of 104.7.
     
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  7. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I'm not in love but I like the Giants --now +175.
    I see the Steelers as very likely to win (Mixon out I believe) at -290 so keying them. I think cinci's down a CB too. Watch the inactive report.

    After that debacle last week, I may not touch TB again this year. That kind of inconsistency goes against my rational models--lol

    So no-one took my UFC tip last night--c'mon guys--I'm 2 for 2 on these and owe you a winner.
     
  8. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    In honor of @Brook! I'm looking for Fenerbahce to avenge their recent loss: Game isn't until 11/21 but -190 ML is to good to pass up

    11/15/2010:58 AM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Fenerbahçe (-190)
    Brook--what does it mean to "keep a clean sheet" in a game?
     
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  9. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Not a bad bet. Fenerbahce will play on the road but the team they are playing just fired their coach. That team seems in disarray. In soccer, road games are always always tricky. I will never bet on them but your bet is one I could get behind.

    Clean sheet is when you don’t concede a goal. The game can tie 0-0 or you can win 1-0

    In either case the team you bet on kept a clean sheet.
     
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  10. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    I put down $50 on a game parlay. All moneyline. I never won a bet I wrote down to this thread so maybe I am jinxing myself. :)

    Packers ML
    Steelers ML
    Saints ML
    Ravens ML

    $50 to win $67.50
     
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  11. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Lions starting and back-up RG (according to depth chart) both out today.

    Packers both starting CB's out.

    I got a few bets down but this one encapsulates my thinking at 1pm:

    11/15/2011:50 AM
    Placed - 3 Team ParlayTo Win +300
    • Valentina Shevchenko (-1400)Valentina Shevchenko vs Jennifer Maia
    • Pittsburgh Steelers (-300)(251) Cincinnati Bengals @ (252) Pittsburgh Steelers
    • New York Giants (+180)
     
    #691 IDFjet, Nov 15, 2020
    Last edited: Nov 15, 2020
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  12. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    I can't wait for 1:00. I'll be rooting for the Jaguars to upset GB for the #1 pick and rights to Trevor Lawrence as if the Jets are in the Super Bowl.

    J-A-G-U-A-R-S Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars ROOOAAARRR
     
  13. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Jacksonville will upset the Packets today. Classic NFL/Vegas trap game.

    I put $100 on Jax ML @ +750 odds for $850 in return.

    If I lose this bet I'll make a smarter bet come 4:00 to get my money back but I love Jax today.

    I was going to take a break after my 5-1 heartbreaking loss yesterday but fk it I'm convinced Jax is going to upset win.
     
  14. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Looks like problem with Stafford throwing arm--ML dropping from +210 to +175--grab it
     
  15. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    He's throwin on side line--line back up to +230--I jumped it at +205
     
  16. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I should've. And I should've cashed out SMU as they get rammed in the fourth quarter.

    Buccs -4.5 (-125)
    Lions -2.5 (-115)

    Were my two plays
    Very frustrated I didn't take that Giants ML or at least the points.
     
    #696 Jonathan_Vilma, Nov 15, 2020
    Last edited: Nov 15, 2020
  17. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Grabbed the Eagles live +2.5 (+112). Vegas assuming that TD comes back. The Giants just unfortunately don't know how to win.
     
  18. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Ya--I hedged a bit earlier with Eagles +4.5--still mostly net long on giants but thought maybe I could win both ways.
     
  19. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Glad I had the Cardinals -2.5 and they decided to take a knee on the fucking extra point.
     
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  20. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Brutal. Sorry it happened. Same happened for me at the Browns game. Why did Chubb ran out of 1 yard line instead of scoring a TD at the end of the game I wonder?
     
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