NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 12, 2020.

  1. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Sporting won the game 4-0 against Tondela. Won in soccer lost in football :(
     
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  2. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Thanks for the tip again!
     
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  3. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I bet against Foles vs. Tampa Bay and bet for him last week against the Rams. I can't figure him the f out either. He's so damn streaky too and that Bears offensive line is awful.

    Seattle is the land of misfit toys lol. Other than Metcalf and Lockett (and Moore too actually) it's a bunch of crappy offensive players that play like Pro Bowlers because of the positivity infusion from Carroll and Wilson.
     
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  4. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Yeah good call @Brook! Should've let me bet that goal line!!! Keep the soccer tips coming and thanks for em man.

    Big TD there for the Saints.
     
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  5. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Took the over on 43.5 for Saints/Bears live (-104) very small. Bears offense looked bad right there though. I have to believe we can find 21 second half points though here! All for the Saints :D

    This Bears offense is/was better with Trubisky.
     
  6. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Was able to get this in as Mullens was warming up


    11/1/206:42 PM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Seattle Seahawks -20.5 (-115)
     
  7. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    LOL--Mullens is eating my lunch--good for him
     
  8. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Mullens is a baller in relief unfortunately. Only in relief though like Foles.
     
  9. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Going back to the well with one of these cause I wouldn't wanna touch the game outcome.

    Carson Wentz over 16.5 rushing yards.

    If it hits early enough (or at all) I might live bet the game in some fashion.

    I also don't think the over is that unrealistic (42.5 last I saw). DiNucci is at least going to try to sling it even though I think he sucks. He also gets Zach Martin back and a full game under his belt. Dalton was atrocious.
     
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  10. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I got Wentz and Goedert in fantasy so I'm not betting just yet. Great day of football! You cashed a bunch!
     
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  11. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    First positive day (excluding breaking even) in two weeks man. Needed it haha. Gonna take this one slow for sure.

    EDIT: as I said that I took the over right at kick LOL.
     
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  12. joe

    joe Well-Known Member

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    . . dema ku ezman gewr in tu min dilxweş dikî

    . .
    .
     
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  13. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    The football betting gods were on my side last night. Wentz slid right near the LOS in bounds while he was sitting at 17 yards rushing (over 16.5). Got credited with no gain. I was just WAITING for DiNucci to hand the ball back for the Wentz kneel down yesterday. He converted at least one fourth down, maybe two. Eagles never got the ball back.

    I see very little for tonight's game @IDFjet @Brook! @Jetsfansince95
     
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  14. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Maybe Daniel Jones over 34.5 passing attempts? Run game will likely be non-existent with Will Hernandez out and the offensive line not practicing all week.

    Game script indicates the Giants trailing maybe?
     
  15. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    I got tricked into two NFL/Vegas trap games yesterday with Green Bay over Minnesota and Tennessee over Cincinnati and not only did both GB and TEN not cover the spread but they both lost outright to 1 win teams (MIN/CIN).

    Yesterday was a perfect example of any given Sunday and tonight could be a serious example of (yet another) trap game for Tampa Bay against the 1 win Giants team while on the road @ Metlife; before next Sunday Night's huge divisional matchup and showdown against a N.O Saints divisional rival between Tom Brady vs. Drew Brees @ Tampa Bay (a Saints team who've already beaten them week 1).

    Something tells me Giants are going to make tonight's game much closer than any of us truly think heading into therefore I bet $20 on the Giants on a ML just for fun with +550 odds for a return of $130.

    This $20 will simply make the game a lot more exciting for me on top of the whole needing the Giants to win in order to secure Trevor Lawrence etc so I figured a $20 bet on NYG would have me super excited for tonight's game and it's true because I'm feeling like 8:15 can't come soon enough like Bart Scott CAN'T WAIT!

    Giants: 31.
    Bucs: 27.
     
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  16. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    I've always stayed away from prop bets with individual players because you think Vegas is smart with matchup spreads?!?!? They are sneaky freaking good with these individual prop bets; I'm truly scared of them.

    Daniel Jones has played 20 career games thus far and during those 20 career games he's passed the ball MORE than 34x during 12 of those games (60%) with a high of 47.

    18 of his 20 games have been of at least 30+ pass attempts.

    I'm not a prop gambler but I like your thinking JV. If anything taking the over will give you a fighting chance and could come down to the final Q; while the under seems like it'll be a nail biter until the final play.

    Fair warning I've never been good @ these prop bets but I like your over 34.5 because the odds are 60% in favor of Jones imo.
     
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  17. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Thanks for the vote of confidence man. It'll be a game time decision and a small play.
     
  18. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Hey man--I can see so many different ways this game can go and they all have the same chance so I can't predict a game script. Brady can throw 40+ times or Bucs run it all night. If Bucs run a lot, then Jones probably doesn't get to 35 passes. But if they throw a lot, then Brady does get to 35 passes. Jones is just a guess at that point.

    The most consistent thing I can see is Jones scrambling. He's been 40+ in 4 of the last 5 games but he was -7 against the 'boys (and only threw 33 times in a 34-37 loss) so there's risk.

    Bets successfully placed
     
  19. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    See. Vegas is sneaky good with these player prop spreads. They literally made it a 50% type of bet (literally).

    • Daniel Jones has 20 career games.

    • 10 of his 20 games have been of at least 25+ Rush yards.

    • 10 of his 20 games have been of less than 25- rush yards.

    They knew exactly how and why they made the spread exactly 25.5 (crazy frustrating for me).

    This is why I stay away from prop bets. I just don't understand them because I get confused on either taking over or under I never know which way to go because Vegas is sneaky good.

    I thought Vegas was difficult against the spread lol by Vegas player props drive me absolutely nuts.

    Brees; 0 rushing yards.
    Bridgewater: 0 rushing yards.
    Driskel: 14 rushing yards
    Herbert: 14 rushing yards.
    Foles: -1 rushing yards.
    Rodgers: 14 rushing yards.
    Carr: 19 rushing yards

    No QB has ran for over 25 yards against the Bucs defense throughout 7 games and they have the #1 ranked run defense in rush yards allowed per game and also the #1 ranked run defense in average yards per run against (3.0).

    I don't like Daniel Jones running vs TBs defense especially with a super fast Lavonte David roaming their defense and flying all over the front 7 but lol I hope I'm wrong and Daniel Jones runs wild on them for you.

    I'll be honest I like the Daniel Jones + 34.5 passing attempts more than I do the Daniel Jones +25.5 rushing yards against TBs #1 run defense compared to TBs 14th rated pass defense.
     
    #439 DefenseWinsChampionships, Nov 2, 2020
    Last edited: Nov 2, 2020
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  20. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Shit--you got a good point my friend--wish I would have bet the under lol
     

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