NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 12, 2020.

  1. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2004
    Messages:
    33,555
    Likes Received:
    32,501
    I think I'll roll with the -1 if I take it. You're hot with Turkish Soccer picks, Brook!

    Any thoughts on tonight's game? Every betting side I've looked at is on the Falcons +2/2.5 (Sportswire, Covers, Action Network, etc.).
     
  2. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2014
    Messages:
    3,781
    Likes Received:
    2,809
    I f'd up in my head to head fantasy league--I cut Ryan last week and my opponent who has Julio and Ridley just picked up Ryan on waivers. I'
    I f'd up in my fantasy league--cut Ryan after last Sunday and didn't notice this weeks opponent has Julio and Ridley--could have neutralized him--now he picks up Ryan on waivers. F me.

    I'll probably bet a prop like Teddy rushing yards.
     
  3. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

    Joined:
    May 11, 2011
    Messages:
    15,163
    Likes Received:
    18,361
    JV

    Tonight's game can go either way. I will skip this game. If I was betting though I would pick Panthers as I like their running game with Teddy. Also Falcons always find a way to screw themselves. But I strongly suggest stay away from picking the winner. Go with prop bets.
     
    Jonathan_Vilma likes this.
  4. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2004
    Messages:
    33,555
    Likes Received:
    32,501
    Good call, man. I think @IDFjet is on to something with Teddy rushing. Rainy conditions tonight expected with the hurricane. Should be lots of running.
     
  5. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2014
    Messages:
    3,781
    Likes Received:
    2,809
    Check this out boys--When Teddy is at home he's run for 26,32, and 48.
    When he's away he's run for 0,12,3, and 10. It looks a lot like he's more comfortable running at home and not just a coincidence.

    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/B/BridTe00.htm

    Worth a 2x or 3x bet:

     
    Brook! and Jonathan_Vilma like this.
  6. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2004
    Messages:
    33,555
    Likes Received:
    32,501
    I love the low QB rushing over/unders honestly. That could be one scramble versus man coverage honestly.
     
    Brook! and IDFjet like this.
  7. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2004
    Messages:
    33,555
    Likes Received:
    32,501
    Couple of interesting tidbits tonight.

    Underdogs are 5-0 this week on Thursday Night Football.

    74% of the tickets are on the Panthers at Caesars William Hill.

    Teddy Bridgewater is 31-10 against the spread. The best ever of any quarterback with minimum 15 starts (I'd assume in the past 20-30 years).

    All from Daily Wager on ESPN2. I try to stay away from trends somewhat. I will likely take the Panthers though. At home on a short week in bad weather versus a dome team.
     
    IDFjet likes this.
  8. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2004
    Messages:
    33,555
    Likes Received:
    32,501
    Almost halfway there dude. 7 yards on that rush. Looked like more to me cause he jumped forward instead of sliding but that's betters bias
     
  9. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2004
    Messages:
    33,555
    Likes Received:
    32,501
    Nevermind. Sent that as he ran for 14!!!! Let's go!!!!! @IDFjet
     
    IDFjet likes this.
  10. DefenseWinsChampionships

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2016
    Messages:
    5,393
    Likes Received:
    4,238
    Last Saturday I went 3-1 $100 on a 4 pick for $1100+ and lost by 1 game. 3-1. Lost my last game.

    I was so disgusted I told myself I wouldn't gamble on Sunday because I hate losing by 1 game.

    Well. I bet on Sunday. $30 on a 5 pick for $700+.

    Took the Packers, Bucs and Chiefs against the spread and won and covered all 3. Even ML the Steelers for a + payout and they won and covered.

    I was 4-0 heading into my final game. Seattle -3.0. was up 10 @ halftime and up 7 on my spread. Went 4-1 and lost my last game of the night 2 days in a row. I was disgusted.

    Last Sunday I had a simple plan. To take 5 future HOF QBs in Brady. Rodgers. Big Ben. Mahomes and Wilson. And went 4-1.

    I'll be back at it tomorrow and Sunday but last weekend was a tough one for me to swallow.
     
  11. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2014
    Messages:
    3,781
    Likes Received:
    2,809
    Seems like longer than a week ago all this went down--
     
  12. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

    Joined:
    May 11, 2011
    Messages:
    15,163
    Likes Received:
    18,361
    Guys. Galatasaray-Ankaragucu game becomes sweeter. Now 9 players are out for Ankaragucu.

    Today I put down $100 for Galatasaray being ahead in first half and second half. I hope I didn't bet wrong. We shall see.
     
    IDFjet likes this.
  13. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2014
    Messages:
    3,781
    Likes Received:
    2,809
    Given my 100% win rate in the Turkish league, I feel very confident we're looking at a shutout tomorrow.
     
    Brook! likes this.
  14. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

    Joined:
    May 11, 2011
    Messages:
    15,163
    Likes Received:
    18,361
    IDF

    Due to you, i will be on the edge of my seat tomorrow 12 noon. Our GK sucks so they might score. We will win comfortably. I wish you didn't bet on a shutdown. :(
     
  15. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2004
    Messages:
    33,555
    Likes Received:
    32,501
    Sorry boys. Held my picks to myself today so I didn't screw any of you and maybe infuse some luck for myself LOL. Started with a bad take on the Minnesota/Maryland under. Looking better with Eastern Carolina +17.5. And the rubber game to go positive is the good ol Hawaii Rainbow Warriors ML (-128).
     
    Brook! likes this.
  16. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2014
    Messages:
    3,781
    Likes Received:
    2,809
    lol--thanks--the odds said to bet on it and the odds usually win. No worries either way. Appreciate your insight into this league. :)
     
    Brook! likes this.
  17. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2014
    Messages:
    3,781
    Likes Received:
    2,809
    LSU ML is my big bet this afternoon.

    10/31/206:41 AM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • LSU (-130)(181) Louisiana State Tigers @ (182) Auburn Tigers
    10/31/206:38 AM
    Placed - 2 Team ParlayTo Win
    • Coastal Carolina (-165)(129) Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ (130) Georgia State
    • Syracuse +14 (-110)(111) Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ (112) Syracuse Orange
    10/31/206:37 AM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Coastal Carolina (-165)
     
    Jonathan_Vilma and Brook! like this.
  18. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2004
    Messages:
    33,555
    Likes Received:
    32,501
    I'm looking at LSU too. But for now, I have WVU/Kansas over 46.5. Both teams play solid defense but I can't imagine a kick return here, a pick six there and a Big 12 game not piecing together 47 points.

    I like Kansas State getting the points (as high as 5.5), but I won't bet it. Every 'expert' opinion I've read is that this is a big stay away.

    North Carolina (-7/-7.5) should route Virgina tonight so that's the other game I was looking at. That line is closer because they played a depressed Miami team well. I don't think FSU/UNC is a good indication of who UNC is as a team.
     
    IDFjet and Brook! like this.
  19. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

    Joined:
    May 11, 2011
    Messages:
    15,163
    Likes Received:
    18,361
    Galatasaray game starts in 25 minutes. Their opponent has 6 practice squad players in starting 11. Wow. Something won't go wrong right? We should win by at least 2 goals no?
     
  20. DefenseWinsChampionships

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2016
    Messages:
    5,393
    Likes Received:
    4,238
    $130 on a 6 pick for $4,936.

    Boston College +25.5 @ Clemson (without Trevor I really like BC to put up a fight).

    Michigan -21.5 over Michigan State.

    Notre Dame -20.5 over GT.

    Alabama -30.5 over Mississippi St.

    Ohio State -10.5 over Penn St.

    UNC -7.5 over UVA.

    I highlighted in bold UNC (4-1) @ UVA (1-4) because it's my deadbolt lock of the day.
     
    IDFjet likes this.

Share This Page