Hitting on a QB doesn't reduce the chances of hitting on the next one. You're confusing an unconditional probability (what are the chances of hitting on two consecutive QBs?) with the appropriate conditional probability (what are the chances of hitting on a QB pick given you hit on the previous one?). The reason why teams don't hit on two consecutive great QBs is because great QBs are extremely rare, not because hitting on one somehow makes it less likely you'll hit on the next one. And Eli Manning was not a great quarterback in any way, shape, or form anyway. He was mostly mediocre, with two great playoff runs.
I watched some of the Niners-Redskins game. That Redskins offense was depressing to watch kinda reminded me of our offense with Falk. They had a couple of decent drives but they missed a fg early then later in the game A.P. fumbled away the football. The Niners took care of business. Played good, complementary football. 6-0 look like the real deal but still a long way to go this season.
It's like the same person winning a second jackpot in a lottery. And the Colts one of the teams who managed to pull it off just watched Luck retire in his prime before this season. No guarantees at all. Just because a guy starts off great doesn't mean it'll end great. Even Mahommes who's had a HOF start to his career who knows? A LOT can happen. The only way to judge these guys is over the long haul. If Sam Darnold has a career like Eli had I'll be one happy Jets fan. Two Super Bowl wins where do I sign up?
That's exactly right, which is why your point is totally wrong. Winning a lottery does not in any way make it less likely that you'll win a lottery if you play again; each play is independent of the previous one. The reason so few people win the lottery twice is that it's incredibly unlikely that a particular player wins the lottery even once. Thinking that what happened before has the slightest effect on what will happen next is an example of what is called the gambler's fallacy. Which has absolutely nothing to do with with Eli Manning being a great quarterback. I hope Darnold is far better than Eli Manning, because him winning two Super Bowls was incredibly unlikely given his actual ability and performances. I would much rather have a quarterback who is way better than a consistently average starting NFL quarterback. Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees each have one Super Bowl win and Eli Manning has two, but only a moron would rather have had Eli as their QB over Rodgers or Brees.
There's way too many bad teams and\or starting QBs out in the league this year....I'm struggling to find games im interested in.
I don't know why I'm watching any of these games. Even Seahawks/Ravens has been less than the sum of its parts. And then SNF is Eagles and the fucking Cowboys again.
Cards giant game two clock management mistakes that drive me crazy. Cards up by 6 Murray runs out of bounds on 3rd down with 2:09 left. Giant return man runs the kickoff out of the end zone to the 12 leaving 2:02 left. This is basic clock management.
Jason Myers misses a 53-yard field goal. He's now 7-for-10 on the season, not exactly quality worthy of $4 million.
Agreed. These 4pm games are misery. Only one I’m interested in is Seahawks Ravens, and that’s not even on tv in my area
Based on the odds of winning it once it’s surprising how many multiple lottery winners there actually are. You may be ignoring the statistical impact of good and bad Ju Ju. My statistics prof in college never walked under a ladder and he’s key chain was a rabbits foot. I always thought it was bad luck I got a C on the final.
How does Tennessee not challenge that spot... Also somehow Trubisky is 14/27 for only 84 fucking yards. The Bears will be drafting another QB soon.
