Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    BTW I understand it does NOT have to make landfall to be a big problem
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    No...once forward motion stopped and Dorian was listed as stationery...that was off the table...and the fronts this time of the year dive just pass the coast line...but their pull extends out further.
     
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  3. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Yes...agreed...I'm not making light of it but the WTC has been going with this a swing here...a swing there theory...and no model showed that...none. you are correct sir. Along the coast will not be a joke
     
  4. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Outer banks...maybe...yep
     
  5. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    How the hellndo you put a team together that could be THE team finally...without a damn kicker or a decent cb... how
     
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  6. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    I am so psyched for this year...I will post that video cbg I was telling you about...one second
     
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  7. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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  8. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Check out what I posted from twitter and BTW how do you put a team together with ZERO CornerBacks = I hated when they sighed Trumaine Johnson and I hate him now even more
     
  9. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay check out the videos I posted from Twitter the one with the minister is in there with other videos just incredible
     
  10. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Cant find it...go to twitter.... #bahamas incredible videos
     
  11. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Here is what I will say about Christopher Johnson...be cool cbg...so far...I think he kind of gets it. I mean timing sucked but he didn't care...he listened to Gase and boom...Mc was gone. I love Douglas...it looks like he understands how it needs to work. I do.
     
  12. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    I think the jets are in the best position for long term success since...hell...I would say parcells but we all knew that was a temp landing....I dont know. I truly cant remember them being in a spot like this ever. They got a GM that knows its won in the trenches and while it may take a year or two...he will get the O line up to par and dominate. Douglas gets how to build a team. Gase...is Gase for real? Was Manning correct that he I a genius on that side of the ball? If he is close....the jets are in position for long term success...and I would have to give a bit of the credit to C.J. we will see
     
  13. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    to quote a wise man "show me " thats when I will believe. I like the GM but as far as Gase I THINK HE IS A BAD COACH HOPEFULLY HE PROVES ME WRONG. His teams got worse the longer he was there,,,,,,,we find out soon enough NOW BACK TO SNOWSTORMS !
     
  14. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Hey Jay and others = IMO ,I don't think the models did very well at all, they were all over the place as far as storm location and changed literally from Saturday to Sunday big time. They had Dorian all over the place as far as Puerto Rico and where it actually wound up East of PR and that was leading up to game time. I don't think any of them had this stalling like it has and destroying the Bahamas and there was debate as of yesterday if it would be south or directly over or North of Freeport,,,again just my opinion and I know nothing is 100 percent but as of now it remains to be seen which path it will take from here on out, I hope its very EAST but Im skeptical until I see it, much like Gase but I stray PS help me out Jayster and Fjay and company but to me that ridge looks different than models were showing yesterday and I don't know about kicking Dorian out to sea,,,,,flatter ridge = different scenario and closer to the coast or more West then East but I could be wrong ?????????
     
    #15294 CBG, Sep 3, 2019
    Last edited: Sep 3, 2019
  15. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    and just as I posted my last post,,Dorian begins to move North and West at 1 mph,,,,,hopefully it begins moving EAST sooner than later and Out to Sea
     
  16. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Maybe it is recognizing the ridging I was asking about maybe its out to lunch but the GEFS says hello Pedro and the rest of you that meet at South of the Boarder,,,,,,lets see how today goes I could really care less what the models say art this point the radar will tell us which way Dorian is REALLY moving hopefully its Out To Sea !!!
     
  17. statjeff22

    statjeff22 2008 Green Guy "Most Knowledgeable" Award Winner

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    Freeport International Airport (1 mile inland and 6.5 feet above sea level):

     
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  18. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Stat if you look in my post 10 posts above this one I put a twitter link click it and scroll down thru it there are a few unbelievable videos in that one link
     
  19. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Well...I will be 60 in may and in seriously thinking of doing it...putting myself in the middle of this thing. I will give you more info but I always wanted to...what the hell...I'm scoping out places just off wrightsville beach. No need for the be carefuls... deep down I'm a puss$ but I'm going it...looking for the most guaranteed wifi backup.
    Will give you more info tonight.
     
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  20. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Storm is traveling North and WEST and 6 mph heres the latest and I am not getting a warm and fuzzy feeling folks read on
    5:00 discussion:

    Hurricane Dorian Discussion Number 42
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
    500 PM EDT Tue Sep 03 2019

    Dorian has finally begun a more definitive northwestward motion this
    afternoon. The satellite presentation of the hurricane is slightly
    better in one-minute GOES 16 imagery with the large eye becoming a
    little more apparent. The eye has also become better defined in NWS
    Doppler radar from Melbourne, Florida. Reconnaissance aircraft data
    continue to show an expansion of the tropical-storm and 50-kt wind
    radii, and it is likely that the area of hurricane-force winds
    will also increase somewhat during the next 24-36 hours. The initial
    intensity remains 95 kt, and is a blend of the earlier
    reconnaissance data and the latest satellite estimates. Dorian will
    be moving northwestward over untapped waters east of the Florida
    peninsula, which may lead to some structural re-organization, but
    little overall change in intensity is expected during the next
    couple of days. After that time, a gradual decrease in the peak
    wind speed and an increase in storm size are predicted while the
    vertical shear increases and the storm moves farther north. An
    approaching mid-latitude trough and front will begin interacting
    with the hurricane on Saturday and Dorian is forecast to become a
    powerful extratropical low by 120 hours.

    Dorian is now moving northwestward or 325/5 kt. The deep-layer
    trough along the east coast of the United States is expected to
    amplify on Wednesday, which should cause Dorian to move at a
    slightly faster north-northwestward motion tonight and Wednesday.
    After that time, Dorian should turn northward, and then north-
    northeastward ahead of a shortwave trough moving into the eastern
    United States. Once Dorian is offshore of eastern North Carolina,
    it should accelerate northeastward within the mid-latitude
    westerlies.

    The track envelope has edged closer to the coasts of
    South Carolina and North Carolina and the NHC track has been
    adjusted in that direction.

    A track that close to the coast, even
    if landfall does not occur, is likely to bring dangerous winds,
    life-threatening storm surge, and flooding rains across the eastern
    portions of the Carolinas.
     

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