and these: Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Northwestern Suffolk- Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk- Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau- 431 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible. Total wet snow accumulations of 4 to 9 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. * WHERE...Long Island and southern Connecticut. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through late Wednesday night. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Wednesday. Tree branches could fall. Significant reductions in visibility are possible. A combination of the heavy wet snow and wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph could bring down tree limbs and power lines, creating power outages.
The NAMS location of center of storm Wednesday night...that is what you call perfect for heavy snow...and benchmark NAM LOCATION CENTER: http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=353430
I like when I get honorable mention ,,,BTW I will be egging Brooks house for Halloween if anyone cares to join me,,,,,kids Prom postponed due to weather,,,ugh,,,keep em coming
NAM introducing ice storm ...for many. This more northern track will give snow to some..and take away from others in the form of rain...and ice.
Yet the NAM is showing these temps? I would think the ice storm part is wrong right now TEMPS: http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=353456
NAMS snow and ICE ACCUMS: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2018031918/namconus_asnow_eus_11.png Notice the steep cutoff...which tells you its either wrong...or some will bust up north.
and finally news 12 cablevision...just to show that messing with drugs is in the cable business too On drugs news 12 map: http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-13856-1521492139.jpg
Now the biggest thing to take from this is twofold. 1. If you are in the high end areas...keep an eye out for now. 2. There has been ZERO consistency with this storm and I wouldn't rule one thing out. A rainstorm...snowstorm...icestorm...flurries. This could be one of the worst modeled storms in history if you go back 7 days to today. So smile!
Sorry CMAN...if it makes you feel any better....fishing is taking a slow start down here too...temps well below normal for awhile here. ITS COMING BUDDY!!
Hey cman..just read your 50 years and still counting and it reminded me of CHAMP. Is he still around?
Ok...so lets break down what might happen. Its official...this is a 2 storm...ummm...storm. You have the first wave that will come through and bring precip to the southern forecast area so after that ends...many will start screaming things like "bust!!" That's it!!!??? So...again...2 storms. My theory on back to backers has pretty much always screamed bust. That my problem. So, first one comes through and that would be mostly Tuesday night. Once that storm moves through, a second storm begins to get its act together....off the mid Atlantic in response to two shortwaves...one up in Canada...and one through the plains that will transfer to the coast. Since the coastal storm will be the primary storm, it will begin to drag in colder air. The first storm will very likely mix with sleet and end as sleet...so temps will be marginal with the first one...not the second one except the eastern part of L.I. and possibly the immediate coast of N.J. The second storm seems to be a total daytime storm....Wednesday morning to Wednesday evening. Strong winds and again...HEAVY WET SNOW. I highlight daytime storm because again...numbers in the obvious places may bust...NYC ETC. Really believe even though its daytime, this storm unlike the last one will have a chance to stick more even in the city because it will be a slightly colder solution. That's a big question mark. Storm exits out Wednesday night for everyone but believe central nj...northern nj....even Newtown CT will be over before sunset. Lol...storm totals? 6-12...what a great job huh? Seriously...along i95 is where I would expect the higher numbers...and going west to go down the scale...east of I95 could have mixing problems that would keep numbers down.
moved in? yes. done? not even close. i should be by the time we are ready to sell though. glad you"re driving this thread this winter jay. like bono says, nothin better than the real thing. now 18z gfs has a sharp cutoff that looks to be around i84. gfs under done or is that about right?
