Here is where I'm talking about and that first heavy band seems to cut right near you. A shift west..just a bit...and its not good. NAM FUTURE: http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=352268 It should animate but if not...click it. It shows how the nam shifted WEST.
man this was so damn close,,,,what could have been,,,,,,,what a crappy winter this was,,,,if not for the FJAY moving day storm it would have been much worse,,,still time for a shift maybe ALL the models got it wrong lol
Hey Jayster I am gonna keep watching what takes place today ESPECIALLY to our South. Now I know the models have us North n West guys dead in the water and CBG begging but if they are indeed off and not handling this correctly be it dynamics or the western shield whatever and this thing is actually West of where the models show say 50 miles for giggles then its a different game ,no ? I mean I am looking at NC and places just to YOUR South Jayster and weather geeks are reporting that the storm is over performing and is currently MORE WEST than it was supposed to be in their areas ------thoughts ?
About time I got a storm named for me. I can try to thro a bbq together for next weekend. That should summon another 12” thump.
FJAY this aint over YET------need the Jayster to chime in,,,but the Ukie does not look too bad,,,The Jma is definitely WEST could this be phasing sooner than later ? Thoughts,,,,,????? It seems to be ticking more WEST
PS on Cue all models have it more North n West today,,,,,,too little too late ? does it phase sooner and do we get more on the back end ? Bueller ? Bueller ? anyone ?
The reason I said wow...is because here in Wilmington N.C.? Tonight..snow and rain turning to snow ...not much accum...but where the hell did that come from. I'm following you guys and now I might see snow tonight. Let me keep checking.
they have shifted but what hasn't shifted too much is the southern most development which for this storm would be Jersey on north. Again...it just doesn't grab that early enough. I do see the snow to the south...and I do see how my area will even get some of the white stuff tonight...but that doesn't change what will happen on north because its still all about the bombing out of the current center by me. Nobody is saying its either going to be just cloudy or snow...it will snow...its all about the bombing of the storm and when that will happen and where. Currently....it still seems to happen from CT on north and very much northeast. Again...that can change.. Here is the latest EURO and it makes the point perfectly....it just gets its act together too late...it will bomb out but perhaps too late for NJ and southern NY State. The battle line for big snows seems to be about 30 miles east of NYC to right around the Tappan Zee (CBG) and EAST of the NY THRUWAY. East of the Thruway, over a foot. Rhode Island to Boston and into Maine...2 feet. EURO: http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=352280
Jay,,,thanks,,,,,,and I realize things are happening late but I am looking at radar and maps ,,,,but right now in ACTUALITY it appears to me that the Northern stream of energy edit here that ULL ? is father South its in Kentucky almost Tenn but my geography is bad lol / dug in more than any of the models said it would be,,,,,
Could the phase happen sooner rather than later ? I think it could with the energy diving so far South,,,,or am I way off base ? I don't think this is a done deal yet edit here granted none of the models showed this yesterday
Looks like the heavier stuff will fall overnight tonight Jon...or beginning overnight tonight. Seems like around a 10pm start..and kicks in very early AM...1 or 2 with the heaviest falling from around 1am to mid morning? I mean..again...if it tracks more west..a bit more west...you can add 3 to 5 hours to the mid morning prediction. Regardless, if 6-10" will close down where you are going..consider it closed. Add to that all the snow on the ground...and it will be difficult to even get rid of 6 or 7"...so would think schools etc are all closed tomorrow.
and not to keep repeating....again...a heavy wet snow. Hey, for anyone from FJF to CBG to Jonnyd...I would keep an eye on this one. It has more potential...and is just a much bigger ? then lets say Boston.....which will be a nightmare up there.
Just saw that....hmmm....now if that is true...not even sure what to do with that one. EDIT: Just went back and animated it to the last pic 6 hours ago...I mean...is it a west trend or a slower trend. The way the L jumps is almost the direction in which the storm will go...regardless, need to keep monitoring the short term models It does put you in play CBG for bigger snows...as it does for NE Jersey/nyc/L.I.
