The discussion in the NWS which is usually very conservative....says to wait and see another 24 hours. Their valid concern is that the models saying totally out to sea is not matching the guidance...and the flow. I kind of agree with that. Not sure why its not attempting to come up the coast because it should at least make a turn. Not yet...except the EURO which swung that way big time. Lets see tonight but totally agree with what you are seeing out there.
Jayster,,,,,,so much I do not understand about dynamics,,,,BUT what I do know is every system this year has been East or Way East only to come more North and West as game time approaches. The Euro is a shell of what it was when I first came on here and read you it really is like the 3rd best model if that which is a shame. I like the Ukie it has done well this year but I stray,,,,,,yesterdays Euro said no way--> todays Euro shift was as u said HUGE. I think this still has a ways to go North n West with over 48 hours left--.Also its about timing ,,,,for this to happen it needs to come together but its close. PS Didn't a guy named Jay once tell me he LUVED Miller "A 's" ? hang in there guys winter aint over yet and if this does somehow hit the ground is soaked-------thoughts Jay . Fjay and others ?
just read a blog and guy saying not a miller A calling a combo if anything ,,,,,,,hmmmm help me out Jayster or Fjay
Ah yes.. the Blizzard of '78... Was going to College in Boston, MA. 23, living with a nurse and just getting introduced to the finer things. Kicked back with plenty of beer and 10z of the real Panama Red. Boston shut down. Dukakis shut down the entire eastern half of MA. People skiing on Boston Commons and Boylston St. Fond memories and good times!
Snowed so hard that night my dad woke me up to watch it coming down. Next morning I went out , lived in an apartment house in bklyn it had 2 steps at the outside stoop with sneakers on .I missed the steps and fell snowdrift was so high could not tell where the damn steps were--back upstairs and boots went on ,,,
Was 22 and in New Haven in graduate school. I remember walking out of the graduate student dorm to complete silence. An army truck rolled by, and I vividly remember thinking to myself that it was like being in occupied Berlin in 1945. Connecticut governor Ella Grasso shut down all of the roads in the state for three days to all but emergency traffic. New Haven Green was a popular spot for cross-country skiing, and of course the Yale campus provided lots of flat spaces as well. One of my professors had made fun of us when we questioned before the storm whether there would be class, saying that he had never missed a class in his life. We showed up (the department was a block from the dorm), but he sure didn't! By the way, Brook, it was in early February, so you weren't even a twinkle in your mother's eye at the time.
as far as this Monday storm trends yesterday were more favorable but the overnight runs were not and have this thing headed way out to sea,,,,I say lets wait n see what the guidance says in the morning and if still not favorable we can punt
Its still a punt..but they continue to swing this thing a bit up the coast..and as you greatly mentioned, that is the trend of this winter. Problem for snow lovers is that this one would need even more bending. I truly wouldn't rule it out until the 1am (or is it 2am? hour change...believe it will still be 1am) euro tonight. Lets see what the GFS/NAM bring us during the day...and lets see what the EURO does at 1pm.
Jay I just don't know if this is dead yet ? Still time,,,,,,,I posted earlier how I like the Ukiemet this winter its done pretty well I think way better than the Euro or many others and it still says it could come N n W ? The other thing I have learned is that just as the NAM always has # s overdone the Ukie has an eastern bias has usually been MORE east with past storms but as of now still more north n west ? Lots of science and dynamics involved ----thoughts ?
Brook I think you liked my previous post too quickly,,,,,and Jay I know its early but GFS says hello "Mr Storm you are very close to a reality ". Now still time for this to go either way and its hard to not live and die with each model run but it is not alone, CMC big shift also ----Im real curious to what other say especially the Ukie,,,,,,,and of course my buddies Jay n Fjay aka Batman n Robin lol edit here since I posted JMA = onboard GEFS= onboard both of them very near the benchmark 70 / 40 Ukie more East but close
Agreed west...but it seems like it doesn't get its act together truly until New England. One thing I noticed on the models that it slowed down compared to yesterday....that is very interesting. It needs the upper low from the Midwest to arrive a bit earlier. Again...not there yet...but closer.
Model run...again..closer..and now snow...but it gets its act together too late. One thing I will give you...it looks like it will snow. EURO: http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=351966
yep,,,,,,but still time,,,,,, it could miss altogether as well but its looking way better now with 48 hours to go than this morning when we woke up,,,,keep em coming Jay ps I hate when FJAY moves he is preoccupied with real stuff instead of weather lol
Is this the thread for posting about the great weather at the Tigers/Mets spring training game yesterday. 70 degrees, sunny and a slight breeze. Free tickets makes it even better.
