Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. stinkyB

    stinkyB 2009 Best Avatar Award Winner

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  2. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    if the gfs brings it east again you will have to wax the board stink.
     
  3. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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  4. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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    that one way flight Thursday from florida to NYC that started the day at $100 is now $631 and almost gone. There is a $438 flight but that connects in San Juan so umm, yeah that's not the wisest decision
     
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  5. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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  6. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    I saw this pic Gecko,,there some other very cool ones. I saw pics taken from recon aircraft pretty wild
     
  7. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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    and just imagine that little spot in the middle is a tranquil Caribbean oasis where you could float safely and never feel a breeze
     
  8. The Waterboy

    The Waterboy Well-Known Member

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    Anyone down here, if you think you might be in an area that cell towers will be down, you and your family can download the Zello app, it lets your phone work as a walkie talkie. It's what the Cajun navy was using Houston.
     
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  9. stinkyB

    stinkyB 2009 Best Avatar Award Winner

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    I wish. But im unfortunately expecting total destruction now....and my house under 4' of water

    For the first time the Euro and GFS are in sync.... And not in a good way. :(




    But big wave guns are waxed in case
     
  10. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Stay safe stinky and waterboy. Man at first I didn't take this serious but looks like this one is an ugly one.
     
  11. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Not good man,not good. on the bright side, you will be on the "weak side". charleston looks to take a direct hit.
    stay safe man.
     
  12. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    weather geeks,,,,,,Im looking at these overnight models, and it appears that they are shifting east,,,,,,,looks as if Puerto Rico avoids a direct hit but it also appears as if Cuba avoids a direct hit as well ,,,but I stray my question is I'm watching TV weather guys and reading weather sites and some have it dropping from CAT 5 to a Cat 4 while it grazes many of these Islands ( some Islands getting hit directly see Barbuda) but they have it weakening to a CAT 3 from Cuba to the East coast of Florida . IF----IF----IF ,,,,,,,it does not hit Cuba directly and stays off the coast of Florida how will it go to a Cat 3 ? I just don't see how that happens , to me it might lose some steam if it hit Cuba head on and especially if it stalled there but if the track stays easterly regarding Florida and Irma interacts slightly with land but stays over water how will it drop to a Cat 3 around Florida ? I can understand it dropping to a CAT 4 but it could even restrengthen back to a CAT 5 between Cuba n Florida, am I wrong ? BTW I realize the track is still not written in stone,,,still could change,,,also it appears Jayster would be in big trouble should the track stay as is,,,,off the coast of Florida and straight for S/C coast or OBX ,,,,,,,let me know your thoughts weather geeks,,,be safe all
     
  13. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    i don't know what they see, but it hits charleston at 900mb , which is pretty strong. staying below 900 while it skirts florida.
     
  14. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    I realize im a novice Fjay but I think this is very misleading unless Im just not getting it. I mean the presure is still crazy low and Irma is staying for the most part over Water,,,,,,,,bad enough people like my inlaws are staying put because they want to ride it out but my wife even said to me see it will only be a Cat 3 when it hits Florida . First of all a Cat 3 would still be no Joke but I don't see the dynamics of how it will drop classifications to a 3 under these conditions,,,,,,,what am I missing
     
  15. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    i agree cbg, i don't know how it weakens.
    jay?
     
  16. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Your concern makes sense CBG. And let me vent here for a second. What happened to our major networks including the weather channel over the past few years is a complete embarrassment. I watched it last night for an hour....that was rough.

    Ok....CBG....when your kids were young..did you ever tell them to make muscle? They would flex their arm and it would tighten up...and after about 10 seconds their faces would turn read and they would exhale and relax. That's the best way I can think of to explain it. It cant sustain that kind of power (AND IF IT DOES..IT WILL BE THE MOST POWERFUL STORM EVER)

    Back several pages we discussed that...with all the storms that have hit cat 5 levels during their journey, 80% or more never stayed there for more than 24 hours.

    Seeing the way the Euro has caved to the GFS is concerning. The east coast of Florida from south to north should exit. The only thing going for EVERYONE including up here is to pray that Irma continues the speed it has currently.
     
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  17. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    i know this is serious but.....
    [​IMG]
     
  18. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Lol
    lol still funny
     
  19. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    cbg....I'm so sorry bud...never saw that message. I never check. Just responded but way too late.

    It would not surprise me if the east trend continues a bit more. I wouldn't take off the table of Irma riding the center of Florida...but it could end up being anywhere from on the coast to as much as 50 to 100 miles off the coast. Todays models should be very interesting beginning with the GFS at 1130 am. Also, the NAM model which goes out 84 hour comes into play a bit more today and going forward.
     
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  20. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    No worries Batman,,,,,,,,,,,ps models hopefully get the track down soon,,,,,models might just keep changing until game time
     

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