I just read all these posts and looked at the model runs and oh my,,,,winds are 140 mph rite now Cat 4 !!!! I will be awake later Jayster and others , this stuff is fascinating and downright scary!
It appears that the Florida Keys are going to get run right over and South Florida / Miami could be a direct hit. In laws are in Boynton Beach ( thats inland and not far from West Palm ) and Im trying to get them to leave and come up North but they are being stubborn ,Im very concerned as Irma is very close to a CAT 5 and the devastation in Florida and power outages would be unreal if the latest models come to be . Jay or Fjay or anyone else give me any good reason why my inlaws should stay because I just don't think its a smart move ?
Check that Irma now = a CAT 5. I was watching the news just now and guy brought up a great point if you live in South Florida or anywhere that IRMA is threatening now would be a great time to contact your insurance company and discuss your home owner insurance as sadly you might need to have these answers in a few days ! The Keys are going to get crushed ..PS Jose is right up Irmas ass .
Irma over the Keys is something so terrible, I can only hope. I've spent many weeks there, it's the best vacation spot in the world IMO. My stepson got married on a beach in Key West last November, Fort Zachary Taylor Park. If this storm as present comes through, there may be nothing left.
GFS showing Flood damage: EURO showing wind damage: GFS also shows it first hitting SFL as a major sub 900mb CAT 5.... so I dont know how much creedence to put into that..... I'd rather gamble on the wind than the flood. went through that shit last year Hopefully it decides to explore the mountains of Cuba (sorry Cuba but...) The best intensity model HWRF is calling for borderline 4/5 before visiting the Keys we're fuct either way..... i'm tightening up my place the next two days, then hopefully getting some surf on friday before Imake and evac call for the weekend
Unless they live in a newer rock solid house (metal roof, impact glass, shutters) on a high elevation away from water they need to haul ass
Thanks Stinky they have the shutters but as for the rest no,,,and Im not there to help them as if I would be able to help with 157 mph winds and do you guys think the flooding could effect 20 miles inland I say yes ,,,am I wrong I say no ?
and unfortunately, the trough which wouldve been our O-lineman pulls out before the storm nears.... on all worthy models. SO basically nothing to keep it away aside from chance and circumstance
prob not. That far inland the only chance they'd prob flood if the hurricane was moving really slow, or their house sits in a very low spot. .... all our flooding last year was from storm surge (I live 2 blocks from the marsh / ICW ) A tree through the roof on the other hand...... but if it follows the EURO track, they may be ok. If it follows the GFS theyre in the firing line of the eyewall Considering theyre older, they should go. I'm trying to convince my parents to fly to NY and stay with my brother..... I'll be rolling with a chainsaw and a shotgun
Stinky I hear you and have been giving the inlaws the heads for days but again its hard raising your inlaws / parents / kids ! You be safe Stinky and everyone keep the info and posts and pics coming !!!
Well just went to my insurance agent and actually was able to add some coverage. I am not liking that euro track, looks like I would be about 40 miles from the eye. Lakeland which used to be one of my spots to head to would be just west of the eye. This fucker is looking to mess with my entire family.
I was going to say, floridians aren't taking this seriously yet because I got up this AM and checked flights from southern florida to NYC (around 8am), and you could get a flight for 100'ish on thursday. Only 2 hours later, and now the cheapest is $291, I bet there just won't be any flights within a couple days and it's either get jammed in traffic on the 95 or ride it out https://www.google.com/flights/#search;f=MIA,FLL,EYW;t=JFK,EWR,LGA;d=2017-09-07;r=2017-09-25;tt=o
