Objectively it's more likely Geno leads the Jets to the playoffs. There are 12 playoff spots but only one top pick. But the top pick may be more likely than winning the Super Bowl.
Sorry, but that's not right. There's only 3 playoff spots for which the Jets could qualify (i.e., AFC East winner, or Wild Card Spot 1 or 2). From a 2014 review, 9 win teams have a 52% chance of making the playoffs. 10 win teams have an 88% chance (which goes to show how much of an anomaly last year was). In either case, it would be difficult for Smith to reach one of those win totals. In two years, Smith led the Jets to 4-12 record against the AFC East. In 2013 against the AFC North, he led the team to losses against the Bengals, Steelers and Ravens, but beating the Browns (1-3). Considering the AFC South, Smith has never played against the Colts, Texans, or Jaguars, but has played and defeated the Titans (1-0-NA). Smith won 8 games in 2013, 3 games in 2014 (Vick won against the Steelers), and, in 2015, got a loss in relief of Fitzpatrick. With those facts, it's pretty clear that, if Smith starts, the Jets are more likely to get the first overall pick than make the playoffs. But we can agree to disagree on this issue. Hopefully, Fitz re-signs or another option emerges (Petty? Draft pick?) that prevents the Jets from rolling the Smith dice again.
Um, no. While there are only three spots the Jets can get, the AFC East title is open to just four teams and the wild cards are open to just 12 teams (16 AFC teams minus the four division winners). In the end, no matter how you look at it, the probability of any team to make the playoffs is 12/32. The probability of getting the top pick is 1/32. You might think the Jets under Geno won't be good, which is debatable in and of itself, but it's practically impossible for any individual team to be so bad that their probability of the top pick exceeds their probability of making the playoffs.
We cannot go into this season with Geno as our starter, what if he owes someone else on the team money?
That's what the "experts" are saying but I'm not buying it. No one in our division got better (Miami? Yeah right), Baltimore may be healthy but they aren't he same team as a few years ago (aren't they signing Trent Richardson? That should tell you something). Cincinnati lost their #2&3 receivers as well as their oc. San Fran sux and the Rams only seem to play well against the NFC west. Seattle lost beastmode. This will be pagano's last year after the Colts finish sub .500 Besides Snacks all the starters that we wanted to stay stayed plus now the team has a year of continuity under its belt. And we added a premier running back that is not over the hill. I think we can definitely reach 10-6 again next year and depending how deflate gate goes we could fight for the division.
Our schedule next year might not be brutal, but last year's was very soft. It will most likely be tougher.
1. Corny jokes are awesome 2. "Some jokes never get old" is more of an accepted statement and wasn't intended to be a joke. A corny joke would be something like... Hey Geno 007, does the 007 mean Geno has a license to kill the Jets playoff hopes?
At least Fitz waited until week 17 and not week 7 like Geno lol. Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
They definitely were. But terrible football IQ doesn't go away with good teammates. Good teammates won't stop him from being careless with the ball, running out of the back of the end zone, or not throwing the ball away. Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
I think 2 years is more than enough time to develop a basic QB IQ. Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
