I think all the things you mention would have little or no effect but I can't help but think a guy with such arrogance must have something more felonious behind the woodwork.
A fair point to be sure. But...the looming disaster after the two nag race on the Dem side, is going to be worse. Go back, and read some of the shit that has come from Biden,Bernie,Hillary, and the crown Jewel..Wasserman Schultz. Of you want to talk about batshit crazy, at some point, the big money os going to start placing it elsewhere...who do you think is the back bencher ready to step into the fore? Critique Cruz,Rubio etc...but...they now have national machines and big dollar rolodexes. Where are the Democrat up and comers? Martin O'Malley? Webb? The one thing the R's got out of this debate season, was to show a plethora of candidates...the two horse nag race, not a good thing for the national aspirations of the party, especially once the Clintons have no mor access to sell, which is the sole thing keeping cash in Hillary!s coffers.
LOL, you are crazy if you think Trump has a lick of a chance in New York. He has less chance of winning then Mark Sanchez leading a team to a Super Bowl victory.
The latest Republican nomination odds: Trump - 2/3 Rubio - 5/4 Cruz - 20/1 Kasich - 50/1 Carson - 750/1 So, it's essentially a 2-man race at this point.
Jeb! supporters and funders will all move over to Rubio I think. Bush had what 8% of the polls? I imagine 5% goes to Rubio, 2% to Cruz, 1% to Trump
I have previously questioned the logic of the Rubio campaign, as in why should he be president, but a different question seems appropriate now for Cruz. If he couldn't win in SC, where is he more likely to win? He's not even a sure thing in Texas from what I have read. Add in that many GOP primaries are winner take all, and I don't see how he has a reasonable path to the nomination. even if all the others dropped out, why would most of their voters go to Cruz? Since I find him to be most personally obnoxious and dangerous, this is a good thing.
In Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s home state, Trump trails him by 6.7 percent, meaning he could still grab a chunk of the state’s 172 delegates.
He's as good as done at this point. He has no appeal outside of the very conservative radical republican part of the electorate. I'd go as far as saying that if Cruz was a Muslim, he'd be on the FBI most wanted list. Christian first, American (or Canadian) second.... yeah ok.
Who would Trump peg as VP? I think Rubio pegs Nikki Haley as his VP nomination. Lets be real folks, Cruz is going nowhere. He will be out of the conversation shortly after Super Tuesday. Ben Carson on the other hand though...
Trump, and his associates control enough real estate and building trades in NYC to keep AFSCME and other unions neutral, which is a large part of winning NYC. The GOTV effort, depends on it,and he doesn't have to win in NYC out right. He just needs to close the gap. And secondarily...Hillary! Will have to compete for the same donors as Trump in NYC. Which equates to what? Hillary! Having to spend money in the most expensive airtime market in the contest. That has a ripple effect. And before you scoff...this is after all a city that elected both, Giuliani amd Bloomy.
Kasich. It gives him Ohio. You may not have noticed but a week after Trump got attacked on Planned NonParenthood, Kasich defunded it, he might as well have declared himself as open for Veep. Perfect choice, Hill exp.governor of a swing state with he machinery in place...fairly popular at home...
It's very likely that 1% goes to Marco and Ted. The smart money will sitit out, until one or the other is poised to win, and get in as the wave crests, to get the most bang for their buck. And in all probability, that money will flow into down ticket races...
