Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. joe

    joe Well-Known Member

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    Car Escapades on Ice:

    While there are many Yonkers streets much steeper than this one, still, what idiot tries to drive down a hilly street on ice? Driver did a good job trying to keep it together...but Mother Nature and the Yonkers terrain eventually won the day...imagine being behind the wheel in this one...

    It's like a Road Runner cartoon when Wiley E. Coyote falls off a cliff....then there's a pause.....then 'splat!' In this one you see the car about to crash in the distance.......a pause.....and then a pretty loud "crunch" (considering the distance).

    click on image vvv :

    https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=926278554062455&set=vb.100000409580093&type=2&theater
     
    #7941 joe, Jan 20, 2015
    Last edited: Jan 20, 2015
  2. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Wife s on a trip,,,,,coming home Sunday nite,,,,stay on top of this Jayster
     
  3. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    waiting for the next update, things are definitely going to be interesting.
    cbg, wife flying?
     
  4. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Yes,,,,,,wife flying,,,,,not sure if changing the flight is do able FJF but You guys stay on it and let me / us know what time is the next update FJF ?
     
  5. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Latest gfs just ran has it staying out to sea. Everything has had it clearing late afternoon sunday. Right now it will depend on strength of the storm on what happens at the airports.
     
  6. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    I checked out Jays site earlier and he said the last euro had it closer to land ,,,fjf one question ,am I mistaken or do we go by the euro when it is days away but as the event gets closer we go by gfs ?
    Ps wife supposed to fly back Sunday night so maybe its all good but still days away stay on top of ths guys
     
    #7946 CBG, Jan 20, 2015
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2015
  7. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Euro kept it close to the shore
    gfs starting to agree. Looks like its going to be a saturday to sunday a.m. event.
    Hope jay updates with some better details soon
     
  8. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    hey guys..just updated the site and will be all over this beginning today. Have a very good update on site last night..and a better one today...IF I MAY SAY SO!! LOL...will be all over this with family still in town till the weekend and me disappearing to my basement to do this!
    Guys..major potential...but the best part for snow lover is Tuesday now showing a major storm and then next weekend also showing a major storm..so hold onto your seats...its about to get nuts.

    CBG..keep an eye out for flights Sunday night because even though most models show a wrap up by Sunday afternoon late...if what might fall falls...it would lead to major problems Sunday night.
    www.jaysweather.net Get all the details!
     
    Brook! likes this.
  9. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    this from the NWS:
    HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
    419 AM EST WED JAN 21 2015

    ANZ345-CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-
    220930-
    SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
    NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
    NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
    SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
    EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
    EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
    NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
    RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
    NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
    NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
    419 AM EST WED JAN 21 2015

    THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL
    WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
    NEW YORK.

    .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

    HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

    A POTENTIAL NOR`EASTER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT COULD RESULT IN
    SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE REGION IN EXCESS OF
    6 INCHES. HOWEVER...THERE IS UNCERTAINTY AND THE PRECIPITATION
    IN TERMS OF AMOUNT AND TYPE WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
    STRENGTH AND EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW.

    .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

    SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
     
  10. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    I know CBG said he will have to see it to believe it...but someone get the life support machine ready for him..because the future models have so many major storms on it...he might not be able to take it.
     
  11. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    I am still giddy from Xmas and New Years,,,,,lol,,,,keep posting and updating Jay ,,FJF and everyone else
     
  12. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    We have 4 storms on the radar...but I will tell you this..either this storm or the storm for next tuesday night thru thursday morning? One of them AT LEAST will bring the goods CBG....unlike xmas and new years...really put it in the bank!! lol
     
  13. Cman69

    Cman69 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    Looks like I'm in the game this time Jay! Should I gas up the Ariens or what?
     
  14. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Trends trends trends,,,,,,,,?
     
  15. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    NOT YET...AND CBG IS GOING TO BLOW A GASKET...but for the first time in several years...the American model might be right. If thats the case...no Ariens with storm number 1 sir. See the update...this is why I posted today long and hard what could go wrong. When model agreement is not there within 72 hours...red flag. Right now.is it over? Hell no, but I have a crappy vibe tonite.

    And understand this...even the NWS is still feeling it...but I have to be honest...bit concerned.
    from the NWS:

    THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL
    WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
    NEW YORK.

    .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

    HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

    A COASTAL STORM SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT COULD RESULT IN EITHER
    A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE REGION...OR SIGNIFICANT ICING
    ACROSS THE REGION. THERE REMAINS A HIGH LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH
    REGARDS TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW...AND THIS WILL GREATLY IMPACT THE
    TYPE AND AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION.
     
  16. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    No gasket blowing here, I kind of expected this.. No reflection on you Jay, hell all the weather people were and some still are on board. but as you have said this is the pattern that the models have been in. Maybe we still get snow Saturday , maybe we get it Tuesday ? BUT I will " believe it when I see it "
    The snow lover in me would have rather these storms all been direct hits for us but this pattern started before Xmas so I go with what a wise Jet fan once told me " trends trends trends "
    Hopefully for the snow lovers and Cman and his ariens the models are wrong and we get buried,,,,,keep the updates coming
     
    #7956 CBG, Jan 22, 2015
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2015
  17. Fred Mertz

    Fred Mertz Active Member

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    Wow! There's some storms a brewin...
    Jay, I'm heading to Killington Friday, coming back Sunday. I'm taking the 4 Wheel Drive and leaving my wife with my little sports car. Is Long Island getting any of the precip that's coming this weekend?
     
  18. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Not giving up on the weekend storm yet jay.
     
  19. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Updates appreciated,,,,boss just called wants me to go into work Saturday for a bunch of hours ( not if it's snowing or icing )...... And wife is flying,,,Sunday,,,what are you weather guys thinking is gonna happen ?
     
  20. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    not giving up at all FJF...just that we are now on the fringe...and to get 4 to 6" of snow is very very possible...just not sure about the blizzard conditions over a foot..but lets see where this goes. I will say this, amazing the trend of models showing the right solution..then the wrong solution which is usually a huge storm..and then going back to what is said originally. Never saw a trend like this..and that's why im telling you this. The original thought about the storm on Tuesday was huge..then backed off..and Im going on out a limb thinking this could be the big one....HELL..ITS EASY TO GO OUT ON A LIMB EVERYTIME.

    If the trends the models have shown for almost a year and a half are true...the Tuesday storm could be a big one.
     
    #7960 jaywayne12, Jan 22, 2015
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2015

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