Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. Greenday4537

    Greenday4537 Well-Known Member

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    I just can't believe we didn't even have a delayed opening after getting eight inches of snow last week.
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Have you used all your days this year?
     
  3. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    and now for comparisons...HPC just updated their model

    Latest:
    [​IMG]

    previous from above:
    [​IMG]
     
  4. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Now..two things to notice..and use the naked eye well. The one on top..the latest..you can see its even MORE west correct? Closer to coast...the L or center of the storm is closer to Cape Cod.

    More importantly, look at the isobars...the red circles around the L. Meaning even stronger then before. Again, need to really keep an eye out.
     
  5. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    and the latest GFS. Now this could be just a few runs wobbling back and forth..but this is storm is something to really keep an eye out for.

    A historical record breaking storm..but 200 or 300 miles off the coast is wild to look at...a storm like that 100 miles off the coast?

    Latest GFS..much closer to the coast:
    [​IMG]
     
  6. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Ok..last post of the night..here is what the GFS ends up as..lol...I can easily say except for hurricanes? I have never seen a noreaster end up with quite that much power up north:

    [​IMG]
     
  7. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Wow I go out one damn nite and Sanchez is cut,,they sign Vick and the weather thread goes kablewey ,,,,keep em coming jay ,,,,should I get excited yet ?
     
  8. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Every model since my last post went WEST CBG..and if that continues..boy oh boy..yeah..its getting close. We went from 250 miles off to 200 and now about 150 off. Again, this correction could be the sampling improving as we get closer and the players are no longer hanging around the North Pole. Tomorrow night, we get are first decent dose of very good sampling.

    Will be on during the day a bit but like every week, come on late Saturday night/Sunday morning....1am. This is getting interesting though.
     
  9. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    and the EURO trended west in a big way..giving NYC 6-8 inches. Huge shift. Now 6 to 8 means nothing..because whats even a bit further east are the real huge numbers..and if this trend continues? Remember, we are still 4 days away and well, lets see where we are tomorrow night. If the models had one more day of trends the way they did today? We are talking about a huge snowstorm for many.

    GUYS..models..they are models. We put out what the models say. Yes, the models on the last storm had big numbers and they moved south..but Im telling you, this is a different setup. Tomorrow night should be very very inteesting.
     
  10. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Still days to go,,,,,but yes one of the few snow lovers left in the world likes what he ( me ) is reading !,,,,Jay,,,,I am curious to see what the local weather guys say today,,,,,but am looking more forward to our weather guru and his young apprentice ( FJF ) next few posts,,,,,,,,keep em coming
     
  11. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    Ok. Now you guys got my attention. Good thing I got all those downed trees cut and gone. Now, I'll use a good bit of "Flexi Seal" on my roof gutter to keep the ice dams from flooding back into the house. I still have around 200lbs of salt left so I'm good to go there.

    Let it snow!
     
  12. Greenday4537

    Greenday4537 Well-Known Member

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    As far as I know, my job doesn't have a limit to snow days. They just are less likely to give them up the more we have them.
     
  13. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    GD..I misunderstood...I thought you said they made you come to school? lol..work is what I should have remembered. I thought you were a teacher or something. lol.
     
  14. Greenday4537

    Greenday4537 Well-Known Member

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    Naw, I'm an explosive chemist.
     
  15. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    So am I after a few burritos...
     
  16. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Cman,,,,funny stuff I was going to post some thing very similar,,, ,lol.

    Now , is this the calm before the storm ? What says your computer models oh great and powerful weather guru ?

    Jay,,,,a question,,,,maybe too early,,,,maybe moot if this thing goes to sea or does not happen ,,,,,,BUT,,,,,the way it looks as of now, with larger amounts of heavier precip out east or over the ocean does that mean that fellas like me would be getting less amounts north and west ? Or is it just WAY too early to even think about such ridiculous things ?
    I like many others will await the latest data,,,,and we also will pay no attention to that man behind the curtain,,,,,and if you need me to bring you the broomstick of the wicked witch of the west in order for the models to bury us,,consider it done !
     
  17. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Ch 4 says ,,as of now thinks it stays more east,,,,,,,,twc. Says Tuesday nite 30 percent chance snow showers , Wednesday 20 percent chance of rain,,,,what's the latest,,,,,,,
     
  18. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Now before I mention about the storm..not to stir minds the wrong way..its still only about 150 miles off the coast..but thats still a bit too far for an historic storm.

    With that said..this storm will probably be historic with how low the center gets..the winds..this a one in a thousand storm..no doubt..but does it spares us the full brunt.

    Right now? Yes...but I wouldnt buy that totally unless tomorrow night at this time its modeled the same way...checking models now.
     
  19. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Looking at the models of this storm..and this is truly the first time I have ever said this...CBG is going to get very upset with me..but we do not want this storm. No thanks. Time of season..this would screw up the Jersey shore and beach resorts all the way to Maine. Its no good.

    Thankfully...as of today..the models do show this still 150 miles too far east..and guys..better off.

    This is as close to a hurricane for a snowstorm as you can get. No thank you.

    Now..even this far out we could get some light snow...we will get strong winds...and there will be some beach erosion..but Im telling you CBG...trust me, this is not the record breaking snow storm we would like to see. Will post one pic:

    [​IMG]

    Snow lovers? CBG..trust me...no...you do not want this storm moving 150/200 miles west from this location. Looking at it now, it looks like some divine intervention from above is guiding this just off US soil..check out how its JUST off land.

    NOPE...This is one of the few storms you just pass on.
     
  20. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Like me after a couple nach....oh...CMAN used that already. Lol..I understand..do you have kids? I thought you said one time I can believe they did not cancel school?
     

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