KEEP EM COMING Jay,,,,,I have facebook people asking me " what my weather buddy " says about Sunday / Monday
this one deserves a long detailed analysis and thats what you get tonight CBG!! lol...checking models now.
hmmmm..still checking but so much model agreement dont know where to find the silver lining for snow up here. Amazing how the past several storms have been 100 miles too far north or too far south. This storm RIGHT NOW..has a lot of agreement for South Jersey/Philly area. If this is the case come Sunday morning before the storm begins, I would be very impressed with how well the models have handled the past 3 or 4 storms. Since the bust, they have been dead on. Now, its early..and come tomorrow night if there isnt a bit of a shift north, safe to say that round 1 goes to the south. Round 2 is Wednesday but that might have temp issues and then next Monday and Tuesday the models have another huge storm...round 3. So, again, since the bust...they have been spot on. Lets see how this plays out with tonights runs at 1030/NAM 1130/GFS 2am/EURO.
NAM came way north..now thats its bias SOMETIMES...but something to watch to see if the GFS does the same thing...the NAM brings over a foot of snow to NNJ/NYC/LI and 6 to 10 to Lower Hudson Vally. A bias OR a trend...lets see if the GFS goes north..if it does...everything is wide open now.
GFS comes way north too. Tomorrow night we will have a good idea who is getting a very large snow storm..and whether this is a one two punch...1 storm Monday....1 storm Wednesday. This could really screw up ST PATS. Day. Now, like the last storm..there will be a another big storm here..again...where. Right now its ranges from DC to Lower Hudson Valley to who gets the big amounts. Could be everyone but have to wait until tomorrow to feel comfortable about saying that.
Local weather peeps were not real concerned last nite,,,,,,,but this morning they are all talking snow Monday,,,,,keep em coming Jay,,,happy Friday all
the only thing that could prevent a snow event for Monday could be a sleet storm...now...small chance...but a few models had sleet for a long time..be back later but the chnaces of this happening went up big time last night. While some models have real high amounts, safe bet would be 5-8 right now..but a tick north or south could throw that off.
Shockingly, for a anywhere between 5-10 inch event..Im with you..but the models keep screaming..higher and higher. CBG might be one alone in the camp of snow...but I think for many...we have had it.
And now the NWS is buying into "something" happening: WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- FRI MAR 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...NEW YORK CITY AND IMMEDIATE SUBURBS...AND LONG ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE PASSING TO THE SOUTH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY EVENING HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO PREDICT THE EXACT LOW TRACK AND INTENSITY...OR THE RESULTING INTENSITY AND DURATION OF SNOWFALL.
I've been vacillating on the idea of moving to Charlotte for a while now. This winter may have made up my mind for me.
SS...As soon as my youngest son is in college...5 years..I will be right behind and about 120 miles southeast towards north topsail beach...gotta get out of here. Not the snow that bothers me...the cold..Im done...well done.
lol...have seen it a million times and just thought it was normal..but you are correct...always caps.
