Im having a problem with my uploading because of my damn laptop..but would LOVE to show you the GFS. Some of you following might have seen the space between DC and Conn...i used the term it was taking a nap and made no sense. Well...its filled in..and north jersey..FJF..cbg...close to Brook...a hair..a hair from the city...JONNYD SORRY...just west of Boston...over 15 inches. This was the one model that said no..and now its saying yes. Still has CMAN at around 10...but im not buying that bud..it will filll in more. AND AGAIN..i CANT KEEP REPEATING IT...the back end snows...this could be 8 inches...freezing rain or lull...8 inches...its that even.
Great job with the updates Jay. My question to you is when will this change over to sleet, freezing rain or rain in Bergen County. For me in Fair Lawn I want to get out there with the snow blower and clear off as much as I can before the change over. Nothing worse than having to deal with heavy wet snow.
Lol...there's nothing like stepping outside and having your nose hairs instantly freeze. I worked for an ice cream cake company (the one that makes Carvel) and we kept our freezer at -20 below. The actual temp outside in the morning hasn't been too far off of that!!! You could make a cake and put it outside overnight and it will stay just as frozen!
great question...I would think..if and when it happens..I mean..it will probably happen..you want the snow out of there between 8am and 10am. That would be a safe bet..by 10am, it would not surprise me if Bergen County has between 6 and 8..and then the sleet/freezing rain...and then heavy snow again. By the way...Greg...thats great thinking. Great thinking...anyone that waits till the end will pass out..whether its 8 or 18..it will be that heavy. oh..and thanks for the nice words...not needed but ty.
Incredible you say that..was walking with a buddy of mine a few nights back to go to a game and he turned to me and said..might was just live in a freezer...how friggin true...wow M...you seem to surround yourself with cold bud!
LATEST GFS: LAST NIGHT GFS..you can see it getting higher..and connecting if that makes sense..fills in more that stupid area..it will fill in more as we go.
I wonder if if deB cancels school tomorrow. it seems like its going to be bad all day, eveytime it's ice and snow my train never runs right (lightrail Bayonne - Jersey City)
Hey Jay,,,,i just watched the weather on ch2 and you know how they show the computer generated future cast ? Well they had it going to green ( rain ) by me and west of me and then later back to snow,,,,,will I hAve to be concerned about mixing or rain or do I stay all snow? I need to know if I should plan on getting out there to snow blow due to rain or freezing rain coming or can I go out when I feel like it
I gotta admit, I'm kinda torn on this. I love being here on vacay in the Keys, I went walking on a trail this morning and was sweating my ass off in this humidity...but it kinda sucks to be missing this "once in a generation" storm in SC. I do love the snow too, and its not like I would be working anyway. If this thing is as bad ass once it heads north as it is now...better hunker down, its going to be a long weekend for some of you. Hope you keep the lights on.
It is cold today in Boston. Thankfully the sun is out shining bright. As of right now, Boston is still on the outside looking in. The most recent map I saw this morning basically said Boston 3-6 and that it is going to be a mix of rain/snow. To the west of Boston, basically on the western side of I 95, 6-12 and they're getting the major dump of snow
Again DP...this storm is huge..as it is strange...as you go north..the mixing issues become more of a problem if you want higher snow amounts. The only way to explain this is the cold air we have had the last few days is all due to a high pressure over Montreal currently....great spot if it was snowing now..as you can see in the south. OK..again...lesson here..counterclock wise rotation of a storm..but..but..clockwise rotation of a high pressure. So now, in its current position..its funneling in very cold air all the way down to the south. Problem is.and this is the entire key and problem with this storm and prediciting amounts, is the HIGH pressure will begin to leak to the east...above Maine...the out over near Nova Scotia..then out over the Atlantic when the storms center heads up by you. This causes two things to happen. It causes the storm to slow down..the high to the north blocks the storm..so it moves slowly....and it also begins to funnel in warmer air from the east. Because the high is no longer in Montreal or about..but out over the ocean...CLOCKWISE ROTATION...AROUND THE H SYMBOL...IT brings in easterly winds instead of northeast. I really hope that makes sense but the bottom line is the high pressure is not in a spot thats ideal for huge storms. What will overcome that for many is two things..a huge storm creating its own cold air pool..and the track is still out over the ocean. I wish I could explain that better..but you want the high pressure to be in Canada..not over the Atlantic. So the storm actually brings warmer air up in Mass Maine...then it would Pennsylvania.....or North Carolina! .because the high will be in a better place when the storm hits here..then when it hits there.
I saw that futurecast too CBG..and you never know..I like futurecast to tell the truth..but that rain is at the end of the first batch..and after that you could see a second batch of snow start up again. I dont know..again....Im not trying to be vague..i really do not know bud. Nobody knows for sure. I do feel for some, this storm will at times seem to be underperforming...trust me..you will get some that come on here like I said and say thats it? This torm needs to be judged from beginning to end..and that to me is a red flag. I always talk about bust potential..and this bust potential will be where that rain line shows up..not the sleet line..the rain line. If the rain line hits you at the end of the first batch, no big deal. I just think the models are really struggling with the storm over the Great Lakes and this storm being so close together..but that would take pages for one post to explain that problem...its now worth it...lol.
NWS FORECAST FOR THESE AREAS..up to 10 to 14: ...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE TRI-STATE REGION... NJZ002-004-103>108-130015- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0005.140213T0500Z-140214T1100Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION- 1114 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... * LOCATIONS...WESTERN PASSAIC...EASTERN PASSAIC...WESTERN BERGEN...EASTERN BERGEN...WESTERN ESSEX...EASTERN ESSEX... WESTERN UNION...EASTERN UNION. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 14 INCHES. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE DURING THE DAY THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME SLEET MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW ON THURSDAY. * IMPACTS...SNOWFALL WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS IN ADDITION... HEAVY...WET SNOW MAY CAUSE SOME WEAK...FLAT ROOF STRUCTURES TO COLLAPSE AND TREES WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FALLING
Pax is a bitch. All iced over again in NE SC. Were hovering around 32-33,supposed to rise to 40. Trees and branches are snapping like my pretzels sticks during a football game. Hopefull the temp rises soon(was supposed to hours ago). This ice needs to get off these branches.
