Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    flakes starting to fly here in the h.v. hopefully it will start sticking soon
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Where in L.I. FM? Big differences in locations with almost all storms.
     
  3. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Going to be more than just the normal mixed bag for Tuesay night Wednesday CBG..in fact..a shocker...NWS already has a Winter Storm Watch out for THAT storm:

    FOR THE WEDNESDAY STORM:

    ...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL EVENT TODAY...
    ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE FOR ALL BUT EASTERN LONG
    ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

    CTZ005-006-009-NJZ002-004-103-104-NYZ067>071-031715-
    /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0002.140205T0500Z-140205T2300Z/
    /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.140203T1000Z-140204T0000Z/
    NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
    WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
    ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
    410 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

    ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
    EVENING...
    ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
    WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
    STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
    WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

    * LOCATIONS...SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...THE LOWER HUDSON
    VALLEY...AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

    * HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE SNOW TODAY. POTENTIALLY HEAVY SNOW AND
    ICE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

    * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES TODAY. 5 TO
    10 INCHES OF SNOW...ALONG WITH ICE ACCRETION OF UP TO A HALF AN
    INCH...TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

    * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES TODAY.

    * TIMING...A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE QUICKLY TO ALL
    SNOW JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK. THE SNOW WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT
    TIMES...IN PARTICULAR DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
    HOURS. SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN MIX WITH AND
    CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WEDNESDAY.

    * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS...MAKING FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL.
     
  4. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Models had the 3 storm week 10 days ago...now this stomr is over performing which leasds me to believe they all will.

    As you can see above, those accum numbers are held down because of a mix of ice..Lower Hudson Valley could get over a foot with the WEDNESDAY STORM.

    BROOK: The weekend storm is on..just backed up to Sunday/Monday. Areas from Georgia to Maine could get snows..and heavy snows.

    And yes, somewhere in there lies 1 to 2 foot blizzard like snows. That will be be not nailed down until the Wednesday storm is done.
     
  5. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Al Rokerjust said,,,l" today's storm is gonna be a walk in the park compared to this weekend ",,,,,
     
  6. GQMartin

    GQMartin Go 'Cuse

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    Bogus. They didn't call off work but I can't get there. AWD SUVs couldn't even get up the hill outside of my place.
     
  7. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    coming down pretty good now. got about 3/4" of an inch so far.
    how long is this going to last jay?
     
  8. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Huge model agreement with this weekends storm except the exact track. The huge question is does it go right up the coast..or does it get to around south jersey and exit right.

    I do not see that being the case and all signals are this is a huge snow storm for many many states.
     
  9. GQMartin

    GQMartin Go 'Cuse

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    Jay why does the weekend forecast say Sunny here then?
     
  10. JStokes

    JStokes Well-Known Member

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    I have close to 4 inches up here in Northern Bergen County.

    Hey Jay- when is this going to stop?!? Or is the heavy stuff coming :grin:

    _
     
  11. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Between 2 and 4 west to east.

    The numbers will be slightly lower it seems only because the how heavy the snow pack is. If anyone was has been outside...heavy friggin snow!

    GQ...Sunny for Saturday maybe...and perhaps Sunday morning...but not by Sunday night bud...ITS COMING. lol.
     
  12. JStokes

    JStokes Well-Known Member

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    Yup, just cleared a path off my back patio for my dog to go out this am and the snow was very heavy but underneath the ground was still warm so the bottom layer was pretty much melted.

    _
     
  13. Drew

    Drew Active Member

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    So if I have plans in Manhattan on Saturday I should be ok? I'm hoping we get obliterated Sunday. lol
     
  14. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Latest models show Saturday perfect..and Sunday even good..not until at night which would be great for those wanting off work and school on Monday.

    This storm..if its modeled correctly...could be a twofer. Monday Tuesday off.

    Now, we look at these models for shits and giggles but the way this one has been on the radar this long? I mean every model has it in a different way but all have it.

    Some ensemble members of the EURO have a 980 low off of L.I. at peek...some have a low 970s low at the same mark.

    Those are numbers that are equal to storms that people remember.

    Again, its Monday...6 days away...but its no longer 10 days away. If the models would ever lose the storm and try to get it back..it would be in the next 24 hours..so we watch.
     
  15. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    getting hammered with snow. Two college basketball games postponed (at Manhattan and Monmouth).

    Funny how it started pretty soon after the Super Bowl
     
  16. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    seriously over achieving up here
    3" and still climbing

    if the rest of the week lives up to the hype we will hit 2' no problem
     
  17. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Overachieved here in Madison, NJ too I guess. Came down heavy and still snowing.
     
  18. franzman9

    franzman9 Member

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    Getting destroyed here in Edison, NJ 8+
     
  19. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    and Not to let NWS off the hook, last night I posted this. Terrible job. Every model had more snow.
     
  20. JStokes

    JStokes Well-Known Member

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    7-8 inches here and still coming down.

    _
     

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