Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. GQMartin

    GQMartin Go 'Cuse

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    i just went outside to see if this compares to my Cuse days....I didn't last 1 minute.

    The wind whipping the snow in your face is torture.

    plus according to my weather station (the one I have hooked up outside) it's 14°
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    oh...was just checking models..and looked out west..omg...greenbay game may not hit zero degrees.

    Will be below zero before game end. minus 2 is the high for the day as of now. WOWOWOWO.
     
  3. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Have a great night fjf.
     
  4. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Yep GQ..totally agree. Love it.

    Your other post..lol..the winds will get even much worse bud!! But I hear you..just came back in with the dog..the dog gave me the paw...or the finger..we came back in.
     
  5. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    again..checking models long range...January 15/16th looks very very interesting. Like the setup.
     
  6. Drew

    Drew Active Member

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    It's more of a steady fall than a heavy fall here in Brooklyn. I'm on the second floor so I'm not really sure just how much is out there right now, but definitely looks to be a solid amount.

    Very peaceful. Except the plow that rumbles down my street every once in a while.
     
  7. Greenday4537

    Greenday4537 Well-Known Member

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    weather.com puts my area at 5.1"

    accuweather says 0.63" of precipitation which would be almost 6" of snow

    I just know one thing for sure: I can't find the phone number to call to see if the base is open tomorrow.
     
  8. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    DREW...you still have a ways to go before the end...wind should be picking up big time.

    Man that sucks GD....no way to find out? I really would think its a shutdown..but who knows.
     
  9. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    I just went out with my dog,,,,she did her business and then wanted to come inside FAST,,,,its cold and getting real windy out there,ps it is snowing harder than it was earlier,,I say I have around 5 inches but not sure as it is blowing like crazy,,,,,,,,pss Jay I dont care how good the 49ers are and that def of theirs,,WEST COAST TEAM coming to play on an iceberg,,,,,,if I were a betting man GO PACK :rofl:
    PSSS SAME FOR the Chargers and wink wink luv Brees and the Saints but not outta the dome in Philly,,,
     
  10. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Yeah cbg...philly is another one in the freezer..not nearly as bad..but about 50 degrees colder than the dome i would think.

    Im about 5 or 6 now...and the wind has really picked up.

    Looking at radar it seems we have another 4 or 5 hours of snow left. Just that intensity wise, Im not sure if there is inch an hour stuff in there.

    I have tried to be very careful but have wanted to hint at slightly lower amounts. I used to do that in the past because I just didnt like what the radar was showing only to have it fill in and catch up. I would say I went to post 3 times about that but said..nope..not fooling me again.

    It does seem although everyones predictions will hit because of the old 6-10 stuff because 6 is a no brainer...I really thought this setup would over perform but that heavy stuff just couldnt get out of central NJ.

    AND IT STILL CAN..but its getting late. I think 8" will happen for most. Im interested to see how Long Island plays out. Snowing very hard there right now.

    We still have some really good bands to go...have seen this before where two good bands come through and poof..another 3 or 4 inches of snow.

    We shall see but this one was fun to track from the beginning...I have to look back and see when I liked this setup. I remember originally liking it for New Years Eve/Day and then pushing it back.

    AGAIN..ITS NOT ME..ITS MODELS...and knowing when models are consistent in the long range. Fun stuff.

    Next up..blowing snow and very cold wind chills tomorrow and tomorrow night..and the rain and flooding Sunday night/Monday...followed by very very very cold temps Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday.
     
  11. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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  12. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay are we the only 2maniacs up at this hour !,,,:rofl:

    You hit this one pretty well,,,u also mentioned sunday and then said we had a shot at this up coming Wednesday ,,,,,tale a few more bows because the weather guys have the same tech you do , if not more and they are not onto this stuff as accurately or should as say as consistently as our resident TGG weather guru !

    Back to the snow,,,coming down pretty hard and man is it blowing out there,,,,,u think we have 3 or 4 more hours of this ? I will check that radar u posted again now,,,,,let me know how late u will be on here tonight ( if u are not sleeping already ) I am like a kid on xmas day,,,,luv this stuff and will be up for a while,,,,,pss will it be windy in Gbay along with the negative temps Sunday ?
     
  13. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    good question about the wind..checking..one second.
     
  14. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    lol..here is their weather discussion for sunday from the National Weather Service..is actually well written and pretty funny:

    THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES ON HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
    SUNDAY. BASED ON AMOUNT OF COLD AIR UPSTREAM...DECIDED TO LOWER
    MAX TEMPERATURES BY SEVERAL DEGREES. HOWEVER...IF MAV GUIDANCE IS
    CORRECT...MAY NEED TO SHAVE OFF ANOTHER 5 DEGREES. MAV/MEX
    GUIDANCE IS INCREDIBLE COLD MONDAY AND TUESDAY...SOME OF THE NUMBERS
    I HAVE NOT SEEN SINCE ARRIVING IN GREEN BAY IN 2001. HOWEVER...SOME
    CONCERNS ABOUT THE MEX/MAV GUIDANCE DUE TO SOME EXPECTED CLOUD COVER
    AND WINDS. NORMALLY...YOU DO NOT SEE 30 BELOW TEMPERATURES UNLESS THE
    WIND GOES CALM. MONDAY IS STILL LOOKING LIKE THE COLDEST DAY...PROBABLY
    THE COLDEST DAYTIME TEMPERATURES SINCE FEBRUARY 1996. TUESDAY MORNING
    WILL BE JUST AS COLD. WIND CHILL WARNINGS WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED
    SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE
    WARNING WILL START EARLIER TO RUN THROUGH THE WHOLE EVENT INSTEAD
    OF HAVING A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR SUNDAY AND THEN WIND CHILL WARNING

    FOR THE REST OF THE EVENT. LATER SHIFTS CAN DETERMINE ON HOW TO HANDLE
    THIS SCENARIO.

    THERE IS HOPE! TEMPERATURES BY THURSDAY SHOULD WARM TO NEAR 20 AND
    INTO THE 20S AND POSSIBLY 30 BY FRIDAY.

    So they are basically saying they may have to shave off 5 degrees from their high!! They are also saying wind chill warning..now remember..they are starting out at below 0 to begin with...regardless..wind chills for that game for a warning have to be at least 15-20 below zero. SO YES...WIND CHILL LOL.

    Thanks CBG...but like I have always said, the only thing I can take credit for is knowing when the models are full of crap or not...its still about the models..and knowing when they are full of it does take some practice...but thanks anyway bud.

    Will be up for another hour and yes..at least..AT LEAST another 3 or 4 hours of this for you and me in NNJ. Another 6-7 hours for Long Island...5-6 for NYC as the precip field will dry up from west to east.

    The Wednesday storm is a call off. That will not happen..only brutally cold. Next weekend has a storm on it..not a biggie..but the setup is not great.

    Im sure another storm will pop up before but I really like the setup for the middle of the month..14th? to 16th around. A gulf of Mexico storm hopefully which will be a bit easier to deal with..yeah right...doubt it will get any easier but the models actually did pretty good with this one. If you remember, I mentioned one thing that helps me is the storm showing up on a model..then losing it a bit..only to comeback so you have to stick with that theory or you will be all over the place even more than it is already.

    So we shall see bud.

    EDIT: I BETTER ADD THIS IN CAPS OR SOMEONE MIGHT HAVE A HEART ATTACK...THAT WRITE UP ABOVE IS ABOUT GREEN BAY WISCONSIN...NOT US!!!!! LOL
     
    #4714 jaywayne12, Jan 3, 2014
    Last edited: Jan 3, 2014
  15. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    last post tonight i think...heavy snow about to enter my area in north jersey and will enter nyc in about half hour..incredible this thing doesnt want to quit.
     
  16. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Wife wanted some quality time,,,,,,,,lol,,,,,,,so it is Xmas after all lol
    Unreal about green bay ,,,,,,keep em coming jay,,,that is if u stay awake lol
     
  17. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    just went outside...blizzard conditions right now...how long it lasts? Perhaps these conditions last about 2 ours..enough to drop another 3 inches more snow at least. The next 2 hours will be the worst and all of you will be reading it in the morning because you are sleeping...so maybe Im lying..lol.

    SERIOUSLY..CBG..IF FEEL ASLEEP...YOU MISSED THIS NOW!! Incredible outside right now.

    Im in the bright yellow right now...not sure if you are cbg..but its pouring snow right now..howling out there.

    My wife has been sleeping for 2 hours and would kill me now if I attempted quality time..dead.
     
  18. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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  19. Drew

    Drew Active Member

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    Really gaining steam now... looks like there's a little less than a foot out there but I could be completely off.
     
  20. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay I cannot see that radar,,,will check again,,,,,I might also go look outside
     

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