Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    light snow thursday jon...becomes more steady thursday night..ends friday morning. Thats what its showing now bud.

    If tomorrow at this time the models are showing the same thing, we can lock all of this in..but I doubt it..so we shall see.
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Oh..and have really ingnored the present because I didnt buy it like what happened christmas eve but some might get snow showers this evening..nothing big.
     
  3. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    hmmm..and more snow showers tomorrow afternoon and night? light clipper coming through that has been dry on all runs but showing some light snows now so maybe.
     
  4. jonnyd

    jonnyd 2007 TGG.com Funniest Poster Award Winner

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    so school on Thursday, Jay but no school Friday? Keep in mind my school district is chock full of vaginas. I hitnk they canceled school once because it was too bright out
     
  5. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    so basically we are looking at anything from a dusting to 3' of snow between now and monday?
     
  6. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay I feel for you,,,me and this whole cast of characters asking u all these snow questions,,,,,,,hope mom feels better and I hope the models do a 180 and " get back in the mood "
     
  7. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    no no no fjf...the models trended lighter but have come back a bit..in fact here is something unsual..very:

    ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
    FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
    STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
    FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

    * LOCATIONS...PASSAIC...HUDSON...BERGEN...ESSEX...AND UNION
    COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY. ORANGE...PUTNAM...ROCKLAND...WESTCHESTER
    NEW YORK...BRONX...RICHMOND...KINGS AND QUEENS COUNTIES IN NEW
    YORK.

    * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

    * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

    * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

    * TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.

    * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

    * TIMING...THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

    * IMPACTS...THE ACCUMULATING SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING
    SNOW...WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

    To issue a winter storm watch 48 hours from an even is interesting..the amounts are even higher that what is forecasted by models...NWS might see something that many trained eyes do not...but this is very interesting to have this posted already.

    Remember the last storm we had when i was pissed hours before it started they finally posted it...let me check models.
     
  8. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    oh thanks cbg..rough year..but no worries bud..life is great.

    Never hesitate to ask..never.
     
  9. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Man Jon, I highly doubt they will cancel thursday because if they are vaginas..they will close friday. Its too light of snow right now for thursday morning...will keep an eye but my guess is school thurs with MAYBE a early dismissal? no school friday.
     
  10. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    You just cant dismiss a storm..and the funny thing is the guy who does not want the storm...if you go by the american model...jon jon..is back in the picture to get 8-12 inches from this storm.

    The only thing I have ever learned about models is the MOST of the time...7 days out when they give you a big storm...they trend one way until around 3 days before the storm..then they trend back to sometimes where they were...and quite honestly, I wouldnt throw this storm out from being a big one for anyone north of I80 at least..not a bit.
     
  11. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Im sure some of you have heard of Joe Bastardi...good weather guy..sometimes extreme..but smart..he just posted this on his twitter account:

    Blizzard to near blizzard conditions likely for a few hours NJ to New England late Thu night/Fri am. GFS will get stronger now every run

    GFS..American Model..leading the way back to a huge storm? Only tonites Euro will tell us if thats true at 1am.

    Model runs to follow tonight that WILL tell the tale:

    NAM 930...jaywayne...not around
    GFS 1030..jaywayne...not around
    Euro 1am..back in the house..will update you then on all. Maybe Jil will be around to update you guys if he is around..he knows his stuff too!
     
  12. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Just looked at the temps for thursday night..the coldest I can ever remember a really hard snowing was the blizzard of 96 when temps were in the mid to upper teens during the storm.

    On Thursday night, temps during the height of the storm will match that..which means very very high snow ratios.

    Im just getting the feeling that all the bad news from the models is going to be corrected in future runs..still in the running for a major storm.
     
  13. GQMartin

    GQMartin Go 'Cuse

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    Yeah boiiiiiiii


    Bring the pink
     
  14. GQMartin

    GQMartin Go 'Cuse

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    Btw - happy new year to my favorite sub forum threaders...
     
  15. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    GQ!!..YOU TOO BUD...HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL..AND YOU GUYS ARE THE BEST IN THIS THREAD.

    I remember when on the bottom it would tell you who is viewing the thread but i never see that anymore.is that still around? Im wondering because a buddy of mine checks in as a visitor all the time. I wonder if i have any family lurkers.

    ok..the wife and i are playing it cool afterall tonight..just a nice dinner but will be home for later model runs...see you guys later.
     
  16. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Got it jay, gonna give the generator a look over in the A.M.
    Fwiw TWC is showing 1-3" for me

    Happy new year snow freaks!
     
    #4576 FJF, Dec 31, 2013
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2013
  17. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Jay

    Enjoy your night with the wife. Happy new year everybody else.
     
  18. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    early night guys...will be sneaking down in the dungeon all night long..the latest NAM MODEL....HAS A NEW TREND BEGUN? Very possible:

    [​IMG]
     
  19. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay how was dinner ?--------------am I reading that correctly ? is that red inside the yellow 11 inches or 22 ?
     
  20. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    fjf..that number is a joke..i would multiply it by 6 with the first number and 4 with the second number..and lean toward the second number.
     

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