At the current state of offense, [after green-and-white scrimmage] Jets would be lucky to win 8. I am changing my expectation down to 5-11 ~ 6-10.
Vs Bucs - Loss At Patriots - Loss Vs Bills - Win At Titans - Win At Falcons - Loss Vs Steelers - Win Vs Patriots - Win At Bengals - Loss Vs Saints - Win At Bills - Loss At Ravens - Loss Vs Dolphins - Win Vs Raiders - Win At Panthers - Loss Vs Browns - Win At Dolphins - Loss 8-8, but this is a little optimistic.
This is really the way you see the season going assuming that Mark Sanchez will be our starting quarterback?? 11 wins, and only 5 losses ... With Mark Sanchez running the offense? The lowest rated QB in the league since 2009. Not since 2012, or 2011 ... Since the first day he ever stepped on the field. Wow ... That's certainly optimistic. You realize we'll be playing these other teams in FOOTBALL, right?
Vs Bucs - Loss At Patriots - Loss Vs Bills - Loss At Titans - Win At Falcons - Loss Vs Steelers - Loss Vs Patriots - Loss At Bengals - Loss Vs Saints - Loss At Bills - Win At Ravens - Loss Vs Dolphins - Win Vs Raiders - Win At Panthers - Win Vs Browns - Win At Dolphins - Loss 6-10
I think a cooler way to do this is to assign the probability of a win for each game. Then we can run models/graphs/ and do a whole bunch of analysis on random stats(how likely is it we get 10 wins, chances to make playoffs, etc.)
Did you know that's completely irrelevant to THIS season. Did you know prior to 2008 in the HISTORY of our country, there wasn't a mix raced president? That doesn't mean it can't happen. Okay, so 2010 didn't exist. We didn't win 11 with Mark at the helm.
Just think this team will be 8-8/9-7 but being a bit of a negative fan at times....I really believe there could be a surprise season IF: Smith did fall under the radar because of the last several games in college and is going to be a solid rookie qb. IF Holmes comes back solid by week 2 or 3 and you have Hill, Holmes and Edwards IF Winslow comes back to being 80% the player he used to be. Thats it for me. Nothing else. I really do believe that drafting all of those young guns on defense will give us finally...FINALLY...a pass rush to be proud of and make this defense more of a Rex Ryan type defense. I think the defense can be very special...very. If those IF's come true..and there are not many...this team will surprise. Bucs-home-win-1-0 Pats-away-loss-1-1 Bills-home-win-2-1 Titans-away-win-3-1 Falcons-away-loss-3-2 Steelers-home-loss-3-3 Pats-home-loss-3-4 Bengals-away-win-4-4 Saints-home-loss-4-5 Bills-away-win-5-5 Ravens-away-loss-5-6 Dolphins-home-win-6-6 Raiders-home-win-7-6 Panthers-away-win-8-6 Browns-home-win-9-6 Dolphins-away-loss-9-7
Vs Bucs - Win. We come out strong for the season opener at home like last year. Buc's offense cannot produce against our D, and their defense cannot stop our run. At Patriots - Win. The patriots haven't been the greatest early-season team. They will struggle in game 2. I think Gronk will not be in this game, and we will ride the tide from the first game for a huge upset on Thursday night football. Vs Bills - Win - Whoever starts at QB for the Bills will be unable to handle Rex's defense. We usually play the Bills well early in the season. At Titans - Win - Jake Locker is not a good QB. Titans will rely mainly on their run game, which will do poorly against our revised front 7. At Falcons - Loss - Unless Matt Ryan is injured, there is very little chance we beat a balanced football team like this. Vs Steelers - Loss- Steelers have historically had our number, especially under the Ryan regime. I expect the Steelers to do well this year. Vs Patriots - Loss - Coming into this game, we're 4-2. Rex will have this team ready for the Patriots at home, but Gronk coming back will be the deciding factor to this loss. At Bengals - Loss- Fans start to panic as we free fall. The Bengals have a great offense and a balanced defense that we cannot keep up with. Vs Saints - Loss- Saint's will have an amazing team this year with Rob Ryan as DC and Sean Payton. No way the Jets offense can keep pace. At Bills - Win - Coming off the bye, we recooperate and focus. I have Geno smith starting at this point. Their defense does not know how to respond to Geno's weaknesses, being a new mobile QB. At Ravens - Win - Rex finally gets his win at Baltimore. The Ravens are a weaker team this year at defense. Joe Flacco will be unable to handle the pressure Rex brings. Vs Dolphins - Win - Coming off a great win to the Ravens, Rex has this team really playing at their highest level at home for this game. Tannehill cannot deal with the pass rush, and Geno throws all over their weak secondary. Vs Raiders - Win Are the raiders going to win any games this year? At Panthers - Loss - We start getting cocky. Rex cannot handle Cam Newton's mobility. Their defense shuts down rookie QB Geno smith. Vs Browns - Win - We're at 8-6 and in panic mode for a wild card spot. The Browns have nothing to play for at this point in the season more than likely and will lose to a fired up fan base at home. At Dolphins - Loss - We're at 9-6. The winner of this game is likely going to be an AFC wild card. Dolphins would like nothing more than to ruin our playoff hopes, and they do. Rex remains head coach after a better than expected season at 9-7. Geno Smith starts playing after the bye coming off a 5 game losing streak. Behind a fired up fan base, we go 5-2 with him at starting. High hopes for 2014
I wouldn't bet on a horse that has never won a race unless I had good reason to do so. A wise person will consider the fact that it has never won a race. It doesn't mean it can't happen but of all the teams that were put together from 1960 to the present we have only won 11 or more games just 4 times. Knowing that and looking at this roster tells me that it is really unlikely to happen this year. You go ahead and ignore the past and our current roster. We will see who is right after the season.
Future bets are one of the plays I avoid here in Vegas. They hold on to your money too long and the odds have been cut down pretty heavily from 10 years ago. At present the Jet future book is @ 6.5 wins- even bet and -120 for under. I love your analysis Mezz, but I need to see a few dozen pre-season games before I can even finalize a lineup. I'm too busy betting MLB these days to even read much football. I'll play games in the GG bet section, but only bet my money on selected college games. The NFL is too hard to beat on a consistent basis as the numbers are usually on the money.
First and foremost to me, it's impossible to predict an NFL win/loss record due to injuries amongst other things. Haven't even had a chance to see these Jets of 2013 take the field let alone find out who's our starting quarterback but yet now I'm expected to predict a win/loss record? So with all that said.... I'm going with 4-2 within the division along with 10-6 overall. The crazy thing about football is we can end up beating the likes of Atlanta, New Orleans, Pittsburgh and Baltimore but then turn around and lose to the likes of Cleveland, Tampa Bay, Buffalo and Oakland. You just never really know come game time. But with the naked eye I'm telling myself 10-6 with those W's/L's selected above. I will say this, Revis or no Revis our defense has a world of potential/talent and under coach Ryan, which means I wouldn't be shocked to see us put up more than 10 victories. Our defense could seriously be that good come 2013. Our season was a disaster last year but still ended up winning 6 games. If healthy our team of 2013 is much improved with experience/talent. Last year now means zero.
Vs The Bucs W At The Patriots L Vs The Bills W At The Titans W At The Falcons L Vs The Steelers W Vs The Patriots W At The Bengals L Vs The Saints W At The Bills W At The Ravens L Vs The Dolphins W Vs The Raiders W At The Panthers W Vs The Browns W At The Dolphins L 11-5. If the defense can play like it should against average QBs, we should win a majority of these games. But this is me being highly optimistic. If anything the Jets will have at least an 8-8 record this year.
Haha. You can say I just love my Jets too much. Maybe I'm just excited for football in general. I always look at every year as a new year.
Vs The Bucs L At The Patriots L Vs The Bills W At The Titans W At The Falcons L Vs The Steelers W Vs The Patriots W At The Bengals L Vs The Saints L At The Bills L At The Ravens W Vs The Dolphins W Vs The Raiders W At The Panthers L Vs The Browns W At The Dolphins L 8-8
The past is irrelevant when discussing this current team. The problem with your horse analogy is that this horse DID win races. In fact just 2 years ago, this horse made the semi finals out of all horses in back to back years. Problem is teams change, so your horse analogy is a bit ridiculous. This isn't the same horse from 20 years ago. Nobody cares about ancient history when discussing the current roster. It's fallacious logic. Our team is much different than it was during the dark years, so using that an excuse to justify failure is pathetic and esentially just whining.
How is that not believable? The jets win road games and lose home games. It happened with the Dolphins last year and almost with the Patriots.
You guys are really excited for your team and I respect that, but anyone predicting the Jets to win more than 6 games is downright delusional in my opinion. The offense still has absolutely zero firepower and most of your defensive talent is in unknown rookies. I'm not saying the Bills will be Super Bowl contenders, but the fact that 90% of you are picking the Jets to sweep Buffalo is downright ridiculous in my opinion.
Vs The Bucs - W At The Patriots - L Vs The Bills - W At The Titans - L At The Falcons - L Vs The Steelers - L Vs The Patriots - L At The Bengals - L Vs The Saints - L At The Bills - L At The Ravens - L Vs The Dolphins - W Vs The Raiders - W At The Panthers - L Vs The Browns - W At The Dolphins - L From an outsiders perspective. And I'm being generous giving you wins against the Bucs and Dolphins
