The list is misleading: they still have the Jets finishing tied for 11th-worst in the league with no team winning more than 12 and no less than 4.5. Round up every 6.5 to 7 and you have the Jets finishing tied for 6th-worst in the league. Having said that, I'm betting under 7
Now that Sanchez will be our starting QB, less than 7 wins looks like a good bet. Nice Job Idzik, lets pick some other gimpy QB to challenge Mark. Or we can throw Geno Smith into the meat grinder, and Wrecks can run another QB into the ground. But at least the defense will be good.
Five wins is a real possibility. There will be more competition within the Division. Finns broke the bank and the Bills will be a lot better, especially on D. They had a cardboard cut out for a DC last year. Now they have a real one.
Let's try to divine results based on comparison of the Jets vs the schedule next year. I'm going to rank every opponent at from 2 to -2 against the Jets. 2 = elite team Jets can't beat. 1 = team with an advantage but beatable. 0 = team at same level as the Jets. -1 = bad team the Jets should beat. -2 = terrible team the Jets should beat handily. I'm going to shift everything +1 in the Jets favor at home and +1 in the opponents favor on the road. 9/8 Tampa Bay (1) shifts to 0 at Metlife = Tossup game. 9/12 New England (2) shifts to 3 at Gillette = Loss 9/22 Buffalo (0) shifts to -1 at Metlife = Win. 9/29 Tennessee (-1) shifts to 0 at LP Field = Tossup game. 10/7 Atlanta (2) shifts to 3 at Georgia Dome = Loss. 10/13 Pittsburgh (1) shifts to 0 at Metlife = Tossup game. 10/20 New England (2) shifts to 1 at Metife = Loss. 10/27 Cincinnati (1) shifts to 2 at Paul Brown = Loss. 11/3 New Orleans (1) shifts to 0 at Metlife = Tossup game. 11/17 Buffalo (0) shifts to 1 at Ralph Wilson = Loss. 11/24 Baltimore (2) shifts to 3 at M&T Bank = Loss. 12/1 Miami (1) shifts to 0 at Metlife = Tossup game. 12/8 Oakland (-1) shifts to -2 at Metlife = Win. 12/15 Carolina (0) shifts to 1 at Bank of America = Loss. 12/22 Cleveland (-1) shifts to -2 at Metlife = Win. 12/29 Miami (1) shifts to 2 at Sun Life = Loss. So the Jets have 3 wins, 8 losses and 5 tossups on paper. That's suggesting 5 or 6 wins next year. However if the offense is functional we all know that you can throw the pre-season paper away. In that scenario the Jets probably have a floor of 6 wins and some real upside potential.
Vegas makes a ton of money off sports books. If they didn't they wouldn't be taking bets. If you believe it's so easy to beat vegas sports books I think you should be rich.
Yeah but that is offset by their annual upset which I don't have factored in either. It's been a long time since the Jets swept the Fins, as an example.
Strange I don't recall arguing against anything like that. I merely said that they are often wrong. Betting is still tricky and is incredibly flukey, as 'any given sunday' is a very true thing in the NFL. Of course they make tons of money. They make money whether you win a bet or lose. To average it out, if half people guess right and half guess wrong, Vegas would break even... except for the fact that they get a cut of all winnings, so they come out on top every time. I never said it was easy to win bets or that they don't make money. The odds are stacked so that they are pretty much guaranteed to make money, no matter what.
