Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    And here is even great news for those that wouldnt mind a few more days off after Christmas...again...still 5 days out but no longer long term so Im biting.

    Very late Tuesday night early Wednesday morning the storm will enter from sw to ne and should start as snow for all. Models still want to change areas close to NYC and south to rain at some point...but Im not totally sure about that because each model run shows colder solutions..that part will be ironed out.

    SOOO....storm kicks in to major gear all day Wednesday and into Wednesday night before tapering off Thursday morning. So in a perfect world...Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday possible off from work? Maybe.

    Models snow anywhere from 6-18 inches depending on the area and the model. Many things to iron out..so in a recap:

    Small storm Christmas Eve/early Christmas day...2-4/3-6 inches. YES..WHITE CHRISTMAS

    Major storm on the 26th and 27th.

    Possible major storm 1st and 2nd January.
     
    #2561 jaywayne12, Dec 21, 2012
    Last edited: Dec 21, 2012
  2. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    Yaaaay!!! Sno.. Sno...Sno...Sno... :up:
     
  3. Barry the Baptist

    Barry the Baptist Hello son, would you like a lolly?
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    Enjoy... don't know where in India you are heading but my magic 8 ball says the chance of snow is ..... unlikely.
     
  4. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay keep the updates coming,,,,,I will move the snow blower loser to the front of my garage today:up: I might actually start. It up and let it run for a few minutes :up:
     
  5. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    That's my plan today too. Gonna gas the ol boy up and run him for a bit. :up:
     
  6. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Cman great minds think alike :wink: with any luck both of ours start up with no problem today and when the big one arrives .
     
  7. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Cman...where again in PA are you? Because I think the bullseye for the 26th 27th storm is more towards Central PA now.

    Very frustrating with these models...first showed a storm heading into Chicago..then a noreaster..then Albany...then a noreaster...and a noreaster for several days..and then today back to an inland storm which is not good for NJ or NYC metro.

    Still time for change..and yes..someone will get two feet of snow out of this thing...but it now looks like Central PA on west..and a big rain storm for us.

    Again...things can change but if the Euro model at 1am says the same thing tonite? Its over for us CBG.

    Christmas eve snow still looks on but cut the amounts in half...1-3" of snow...but it will snow.
     
  8. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay ,,," well shut the garage door " that sux ! Keep us posted,,,,I hope that the track changed again after your last post but the tv people are saying more wet than white on Xmas. Ugh ! Let me know what to expect if anything in rockland county.
    Ps does not sound great as of now Cman but one day or another we will be cranking up those. Snowblowers :up:
     
    #2568 CBG, Dec 23, 2012
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2012
  9. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    ugh. that sucks. i am looking for snow on the ground with a full moon friday night.
     
  10. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    Jay, I'm roughly 100mi west of Philly. 30mi south of Harrisburg. Weatherman gave us the bad news (good for sno haters). 2" or less south of the PA TPKE, 2-4" North towards State College and points north and west. No reason to use the big boy yet but I'm still hopeful I'll get to use it at some point this winter.
     
  11. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    100 west of philly? Dont buy it yet...you could get crushed with a 30 mile adjustment east on the eye of this storm.

    Let me tell you something..someone is going to get 18-24 on this and if its not you...it will only be another 100 miles west of you.

    So friggin close on this storm.

    Just checking new model runs now.
     
  12. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    One thing to keep in mind..although it will be a very light storm on Monday night/christmas eve..the models are showing a start of snow and then a mix of snow sleet and FREEZING RAIN...and all of the models are showing this freezing rain mix changeover...so be careful driving around at night. Although light, some of the worst driving I have ever had is the light misty freezing rain storms...be careful guys and girls..and jon.
     
  13. jonnyd

    jonnyd 2007 TGG.com Funniest Poster Award Winner

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    keep that shit movin west.....Ill take a nice Wet Christmas
     
  14. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Its a small storm Jon...but it could be a tough driving night.
     
  15. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Quick update on the latest models

    Christmas Eve: Light storm that will be a snow..sleet..freezing rain...light..but be careful. Starts around 7-10 pm..ends around 5am

    Wednesday: Big question mark but looks like a quick dump of early snow west of nyc and then changes to rain for most..perhaps 2-4 and then switch over. Those west of PA is a tough call but 100-150 miles away from NJ border could be crushed.

    New storm popped up and this could be a dozzy. Saturday Sunday...would lean towards all snow but again..tough call. Some people get over a foot.

    New years day storm still on maps...again...big storm.

    So..1 small storm on Christmas Eve..and then 3 large storms...Wednesday...Saturday....New Years day or day after.
     
  16. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Hey CMAN....get the snow blower ready...I believe you have a shot at that Wednesday storm..and if the European model shows more east tonite at 1am..then this could really change things for everybody WEST of 287 or north of 80 where it crosses over 287.
     
  17. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Here is a great map...animate and all. Hit the animate button on the left and watch 3 storms.

    First one is Christmas Eve...second this Wednesday and then right at the end of the roll..you will see a third one ready to come through next weekend.

    Such a close call and you can see how large that second one is..so is the third. White Christmas...yes...but just a bit.

    http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
     
  18. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay,,,,,,,,,some of us ( me ) look forward to the updates :up:

    How much snow does Xmas eve give north of 287 / rockland ? Dusting or more and does it change to rain ? Suppose to do some traveling the weekend also so await the updates be well all
     
  19. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Heading up that way it should not change to rain..now can it mix with freezing rain? Yeah..thats a concern...nothing more than 2-3 for anybody but still...it could be a tough travel for some.

    Be careful and leave yourself some time..my guess is by 10pm christmas eve it will be a bit annoying driving around..horrible? no..unless the freezing rain takes over.
     
  20. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    Nice! Strange, but these storms don't seem to be reforming off the coast like they used to not that long ago. Any reason why?
     

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