Moving only at 8 mph... If we got 14-15 inches in some areas here from the outer bands, NO and the area should getting at least 20 inches...Damn...
Yeah DS...the slow movement combined with the filling in on the radar to the north of the eye spells big trouble rain wise..and piling up water as the circulation is prime to just throw water into the past troubled spots...not good. Keep an eye on that radar the next 5 hours...2 inches an hour average during that span. That heavy band has been itching to get to N.O...and now it has. The eye went over land and then pushed west back over water for a bit...this is going to be a flood disaster.
A work colleague son just moved to shreevesport with a basketball scholarship. Is shreevesport in trouble or will miss most trouble?
some things to follow..this storm is going to flood the entire center of the country before heading to the east coast. One thing I have not heard much of but following the track is that it basically follows the Mississippi River..which should continue flooding to the south of the storm for days and days. track: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/210834.shtml?5-daynl#contents Rainfall potential..in inches: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/qpf/tcqpf.php Radar: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=lix&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no Satellite: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-avn-long.html Advisory: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/242054.shtml Cams: http://www.wxnation.com/neworleans/webcams/
Excellent pick up T.O. They really do need it. Mother nature works in weird ways. DS, That sucks...bad timing...incredible how the precip field will hold together that far north but the reason it stays heavy is the storm merges with a cold front..which then travels due east and brings the precip into the metro nyc are by Monday/Tuesday...i highly doubt those huge numbers in the middle of the country (8+ inches from New Orleans to south of Chicago) make it east....but this storm has been filled with surprises.
Leslie and Michael will not really impact the US, other than higher tides and rip currents along the coast. Unless their current tracking changes drastically of course.
Way too early to tell anything - it's still going to be in the middle of the Atlantic five days from now. Anything can happen before it would get anywhere close to the US.
scroll down and see the path of the bitch known as Leslie. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/024122.shtml?5-daynl#contents A model or two have suggested a path that takes it close to northern new England but Nova Scotia is the only place that has a shot after Bermuda. All is ok except for, as some posters have mentioned, the riptides which should regrettably take several lives up the east coast. This will end up being a very strong storm out at sea...and these riptides are going to be very very dangerous. Long term Winter continues to look pretty bleak for the nyc metro area as January and February show conditions for major storms. Below normal temps along with above normal precip. And while we are at it....from the NWS for East Rutherford on Sunday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
scroll down and see the path of the bitch known as Leslie. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/024122.shtml?5-daynl#contents A model or two have suggested a path that takes it close to northern new England but Nova Scotia is the only place that has a shot after Bermuda. All is ok except for, as some posters have mentioned, the riptides which should regrettably take several lives up the east coast. This will end up being a very strong storm out at sea...and these riptides are going to be very very dangerous. Long term Winter continues to look pretty bleak for the nyc metro area as January and February show conditions for major storms. Below normal temps along with above normal precip. And while we are at it....from the NWS for East Rutherford on Sunday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Jeff, you're right, it'll still be out in the Atlantic for awhile, luckily. I was pretty nervous yesterday though. Thanks. I was really getting concerned that we were going to get hit with a Category 2 Hurricane. This morning track looks better.
I'll be out on the ocean on Friday. Hopefully, this storm won't cause ridiculous swells. They're already looking at 4-6ft seas.
Very VERY interesting storm may affect the mid atlantic northeast next week. Sandy, currently a tropical storm and will become a hurricane, will pass over/near jamaica and then POSSIBLY move up the coast while intensifying. 3/4 of the models have this happening to some extent and the most consistant model has landfall over Conn. or the Cape. Everyone close to the coast will be affected with strong winds and rain. Over inland areas in PA. and other areas, the potential for snow exisits. Will update you later today..time frame is 29th to 31st.
