Wow..sorry cman..didnt realize you were that far into PA. That might be a stretch for the big stuff. This storm has coast written all over it. Anything over 80-100 miles inland might be out of the big stuff. Hey...its WAY to early to confirm that though. The latest GFS has the storm but for some reason..it does all the right things..phases..blah blah blah..but it never hits the bomb criteria. Still, a 6 inch plus storm. Like I said..this will change a few more times. Friday night it gets locked in. Lets see if the Euro goes over to the GFS thinking at 1am.
And now the Euro came way north..which is a good thing for snow lovers. Like I said...Friday night at 1100pm will tell the tale of a snow storm for the NYC metro area and north and west of that.
Cool, thanks Jay. I'm trying to see when I should move out of my apt..was planning on Sunday, but I guess I'll have to do it Sat..lol
As it turns out Jay, I'm only 50mi north of B'more. Following a parallel line along the coastline, I'm technically within 50-75 miles of the coast. That would be the Delaware/Maryland coastline. Its that NE turn of the coastline in Jersey where the distance comes into play. Most times, our weather is just a bit colder than what they'll see in Baltimore and Philly.
Well then as it stands now CMAN you are in the jackpot zone of at least plus 6. I do believe that might change a bit north..but most models are staying a bit more south with this storm compared to yesterday. Tonite should be interesting.
TV weather guys are saying it looks to stay south of us--------UGH kids aint gonna be happy. Let us know if things change JWAYNE hopefully we get hit with some snow before Easter :wink:
Its amazing how the TV guys are strictly going by models. Now you do follow the models. But anyone could do what they do. They rarely think outside the box...thats why I love the forums so much. TRENDS TRENDS TRENDS. Remember, this storm started out on the models as a bomb 14 days ago. Then went south..then reappeared as as bomb almost a week ago...then went south..only to back to a bomb 4 days ago...then south today. It comes down to one basic feature and thats the northern Jet and whether it phases with this storm or not. No phase..southern storm. This storm WILL trend back north but how far. I do believe A.C. and philly get a storm out of this..but how far north. Tonite is a big model at 1030...if this trends north...you have your final solution as to where.
GFS Model is running now. If it trends north we will have a major storm..if it stays south? We have only 24 hours for it to change. By Friday night the models lock in on areas. Will update you.
Watching the model of this storm tracking..just took a quick look at south florida DS. Those temps will not change much the next week!! BUT...a few isolated big thunderstorms over the next 72 hours.
Yuck...still south. Baltimore does much better than North Jersey. Parts of Virginia get clobbered!!!!! Yuck again...ok...been there..done that...have seen this before. Im still not buying the location that south. I truly believe it will come north. We shall see.
:rofl2: Jil...you had me cracking up on that one. I should have said "We are solid. I dont really care what the press thinks..we are getting this storm. Has the press every played a model..or a down?" I think Rex gets on my nerves a lot because at times, he does remind me of me..and the old saying is look in the mirror. As far as the storm goes...to cbg....cman..and any other person that was at the store buying hot chocolate....or making love to their snowblower...forget it. ITS SOUTH. Its wide right. If the storm hadnt taken a knee first it might have been in position...but its not phasing. Over at AC Jil, suicide watch. Many things would have to change and those changes would take place tonite at 1030pm and 1am. But I doubt it. Parts of NC and Virginia will get their snow storm..and amazingly they will have more snow than us this year. (post Halloween) Now there is another storm on the models for next week but guess what...fool me once shame on you...fool me 8 times..shame on Rex.
A lot of plow and sander guys are going to be sucking fumes in June if we don't get a few good storms in March. And because of current fuel prices, even if they do get some work it'll hardly be worth their time.
Oh well, there's always next winter Jay. I'm already getting my tacklebox straight for my spring fishing trip to Mo. I'm throwing in the towel on this winter. The Ariens will be drained, covered and shelved until next season.
ahhhhhhhhhh what could have been ! Raining here---ugh ! Well we aint outta the woods yet we still have a few weeks left ! Hopefully we get some snow and someMORE snow to make up for the ones we missed!
To me the ideal winter is cold and sharp, but short. Kill lots of bugs with a hard and deep frost. A reasonable couple of snow storms, but not too many. But be over by early March. This year we had that late October storm that caused me a lot of work (long story) but pretty much next to nothing since. It would figure that it would drag out into March and into a shitty spring. Let's hope not, but I won't be surprised if it snows in March.
