A Jets loss this weekend would certainly help this Patriots fan just a little after seeing the "best team in baseball" melt down into a puddle of goo in September. BTW neither Haynesworth or Hernandez were in practice today.
That is a crazy number. All the CBS "experts" pick the Pats to win, pick the jets vs the spread. I always take the Pats in the espn pool (and I will this week), but I'm going to probabaly have to swallow a loss this time.
I can't really feel confident going into this game (considering I didn't think we'd win it even before everything collapsed), but that doesn't mean I don't think it's possible. The Jets have surprised us before. However, I do believe Mangold will have to play for us to have a chance.
After the 45-3 result maybe 10 points was justifiable. 9 points now seems ridiculous. I think the spread will decline by game time.
I don't think it's that high, no one expects Brady to throw 4 INTs again, and 2 of those were fluky tipped balls. It basically says the Pats should be 3 point favorites when the Jets are home. And based on what I've seen from the Jets so far, we have not been impressive. That said, if I were a betting man, I would definitely lean towards the Jets here, especially if Hernandez isn't playing. I trust the Jets ability to stop the run, despite what the stats say. McFadden is a stud, and they have a ton of pure speed, which they used to beat us around the outside. Don't see New England having that in the run game. Jets will need a balanced offense, led by Sanchez and the passing game, to score points at New England. We're not scared of playing up there, shown by the playoff game. The Patriots' defense is not very threatening. This is going to be a big test for Sanchez. He should have time to throw, and this is a big game for us. He doesn't have to outplay Brady, but he has to put points on the board and keep the ball out of Brady's hands.
I only read the first couple sentences of your post, but if you don't think the Jets shut down the Pats offense last year, then your frankly in denial. Take away the Pats garbage time TD last year in the last minute of the game where the Jets played soft coverage, we held your amazing O (avg over 30+ pts a game) to a touchdown, 2 pt conversion, and a field goal, AT HOME. What more needs to be said?
Time for the Jets to shake things up again this week. The NFL is so week to week these days it is crazy. Watch for the Eagles to defeat the Bills and the Jets to pull out the win in New England to hold a 3 way tie in the AFC East at 3-2 between Gang Green, Buffalo and NE with the Patriots being 0-2 in the division. And when this happens, all the doom and gloom talk the last couple weeks will feel pretty silly.
Down 28-14 with like 2 minutes to go is basically shutting down the best offense in the NFL. Please realize that no one on this board is disputing that Pats have the best offense in the NFL, yet you brag about it as if we dispute it. You do realize Jets have given up a few TDs on offense, right? Not all of that is D. Also, Jets have a terrible pass rush, incase you haven't seen us play. Yet we have 3 more sacks than Pats in just 4 games. Over the course of the season, that equates to 12 sacks, but sacks do not measure how good a pass rush is anyyways. 100 yards on the ground is definitely a possibility, especially if the Jets D plays good. If its a close game, I'd expect much more than 100 yards. See below for reasoning. Pats have had the lead in every game, forcing opponents to abandon their run game. Its not rocket science. Jets have had lead only against Jags. They played from behind in the other three games. lolololol....giving up 4.8 yards a carry is definitely worthy of praise...for a Pats D, that is. They've given up just one 41 yard run and 3 20+ yard carries, so nothing is inflated in that YPC. Teams abandoning the run game does NOT mean Pats can stop the run. They can't. They have been below average at it. Witout the 41 yard carry, Pats have still given up 4.4 YPC. Ray Rice, a top 3 RB in the NFL IMO, had 25 carries and went for 66 yards. That includes about 40 yards on one drive, plus another 20-30 yards on the other 20 carries. Im sure Jets can sop the run. They've given up 4.2 yards a carry, which is ok, but it has a 70+ yard dash that inflates it, unlike the 41 yard carry. Without that play, Jets give up 3.6 YPC. If Jets lose the TO battle, Jets lose. If Pats lose the TO battle, it can still be a close game. If Jets can create +2 TO ratio, the Jets offense can put up points. Much below average run D and the worst Pass D will allow some plays. Jets Pass D: 2nd in league Pats Pass O: 1st in league Push Jets run D YPC 4.2: 19th Pats run O YPC 4.8: 5th Push, considering the 70 yard dash skewing the Jets stats. Pats Pass D: 32nd Jets Pass O: 16th Advantage Jets Pats Run D YPC 4.8: 23rd Jets Run O YPC 3.1: 30th Push
I am not sure how they come up with these spreads but this does seem a tad on the stupid side. I would be absolutely amazed if the Pats kill the Jets that badly. Aside from the 45-3 routing last year(anomaly), the Jets have played us pretty well over the last couple years and I think they will find a way to step it up this week, no matter what problems they have. If they don't, the season is probably already done.
The spread makes sense.. remember, their goal is to get even money. People love betting the Pats so all their spreads get inflated by at least a point. They make it as high as they can until they start getting equal money on the other side too. People saw the Jets get basically embarrassed on primetime last week. People will look at the Jets getting smoked by the Raiders the week before, then the Pats beating the Raiders handily. People will think about how the Pats want revenge and blah blah.. All that being said, I would bet on the Jets for sure to keep this one close. Football is all about matchups and the Jets match up with the Pats very well.
Injuries, huh? If I threw injury excuses on the table you of all people would jump on that faster than a Brady water-slide photo.
I'm curious (and not trying to start shit), but who are your injuries (I know about Hernandez, as a Gators fan I know his loss is big) and how do they affect your team/this coming game?
Injuries never play a part in a team's success. Look at the Colts, they will definitely make the playoffs with at least 10 wins by signing Kerry Collins.
I don't know if I'm ready to go there just yet .. Defense sucked with him there, not really a "impact" player .. He's a thumper, and makes allot of tackles.. He is what he is .. sound player I would say..
