Man....I'm trying to go to sleep and you show me a model with a mB pressure in the 960s? Jesus, JW, fuck you. lolol.
lol...should have posted that in the morning G! Sorry bud...hey..its Wednesday. Plenty of time for change. Keep the faith.
everyday the track keeps pushing out to sea more and more. it will probably end up missing everybody,while battery and water companies have a record week.
The issue with flights on Saturday and throughout the weekend will be that the eastern routes over the ocean and along the coast will probably be lost. This will greatly reduce the number of flights possible. That will lead to traffic flow management programs that will result in flight cancellations. Flights earlier in the day are the ones to have. They may be hours late but they have a much better chance of making it to their destination than flights later in the day. Long story short, try to rebook for an earlier flight, either Friday or early Saturday morning.
I do remember being in the dorm in college. No home, no worries. Hell, I was hoping for a category 5 because of how awesome it would be to watch. Fast forward to now. I own a home. I wish I could put a concrete dome around my house, and even then, I'd find a way to worry about something. And don't get me started about how the Tropical Storm deductible has gone up over the years. I've been happy with Allstate, but they can ride my dong over that issue.
lol. even if this thing does hit us the winds will be more in the 75-100 mph range than the 115-130 range at that point. We had three trees come down last July during one of those flash thunderstorms, so despite any weakening, I know there still could be a lot of trouble. Especially with a 6-month-old. Clean, running water is nice to have. As is electricity.
Have never seen such an extreme shift over a 3 day period in model forecasts...still forecasted to make landfall over eastern, L.I....BUT.....Still 5 days away. At this rate, landfall could be Greenland.
would the more out-to-sea track produce the stronger winds, I.E. if were west of the eye we get the winds, right?
That sounds about as good as you can get for Saturday I'd say. I'd say you'll make it home at some point on Saturday. Bring a good book.
Got some batteries, bottled water and some peanut butter, gonna pick up a bunch of booze and some nice greens. I'm ready.
You get winds on either side, but I believe the stronger winds are on the east side of the eye because the speed of the storm moving forward adds to the already existing wind speed since the storm rotates counterclockwise. I think the storm in general would be stronger if it stayed out to sea because any landfall weakens a hurricane. I defer to the wisdom of jaywayne of course.
Dead on BO. The Northeast side of the storm gets the most winds/precip. Land, as you mentioned, breaks down the storm too. No need to add anything to that one. Now you can still get major amounts of precip to the west but in this case...the more the track shifts east, the stronger it remains....but who cares..it causes less problems over land. The shift east has really helped millions of people. If the current track remains the same....which it hasnt from day to day...very Eastern tip of LI and Rhonde Island...Cape Cod get the real brunt.
