Week 10 Picks

Discussion in 'Crystal Ball' started by Antoni, Nov 4, 2008.

  1. Antoni

    Antoni Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2007
    Messages:
    2,185
    Likes Received:
    437
    Buffalo Bills +4 (3 unit play)
    St. Louis Rams +9 (2 unit play)
    Minnesota Vikings -3 (4 unit play)
    Oakland Raiders +9
    San Diego Chargers -14 (2 unit play)
    Baltimore Ravens +2
    San Francisco 49ers +10 (2 unit play)
    Cleveland Browns -3
    Detroit Lions +7
    Chicago Bears +3 (3 unit play)

    Last week: 2-3. First terribad week on TGG and in general. 10-8-2 on the season. Time to rebound big
     
    #1 Antoni, Nov 4, 2008
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2008
  2. NDmick

    NDmick Revis Christ

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2007
    Messages:
    22,432
    Likes Received:
    3
    Give me every team missing their starting QB and bet against them:

    Bears- Take Tennessee -3
    Lions- Take Jacksonville, pissed Jacksonville -7
    Browns- Take Pissed Denver +3
    Texans- Take Baltimore +2
     
  3. slowmoe57

    slowmoe57 New Member

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2004
    Messages:
    801
    Likes Received:
    0
    too early but liking Baltimore and Carolina comin off a bye week so far
    Denver might be tempting with Quinn going for the browns but they keep burning me
    Lions have been playin teams closer but no wins beware on that jaxsonville that could burn you
     
  4. The Dark Knight

    The Dark Knight Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2004
    Messages:
    27,065
    Likes Received:
    14,286
    Jets (-9) seems reasonable.
     
  5. Antoni

    Antoni Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2007
    Messages:
    2,185
    Likes Received:
    437
    I checked my books today to see updated lines and was available to find -7.5 even. There's no way this moves off that 7.5 though. This is probably going to be one of those games where the Rams hang around long enough to allow themselves to backdoor cover. On paper it looks like the Jets can easily cover this, but they've taken games off this year so why not this week? The Jets are coming off a huge road win and have an even bigger game with New England next week. I love the Bretts as dogs this year basically against anyone but when they have to cover more than a TD its way too risky with Favre gunning all game. I wouldn't be surprised if the Jets are up 14 in the 4th and a Favre pick results in the Rams scoring the last TD to lose by 7 and Rams cover. That's one scenario, the other is of course they take the game completely off and its the same old Jets you saw against Oakland and KC.
     
    #5 Antoni, Nov 5, 2008
    Last edited: Nov 5, 2008
  6. NDmick

    NDmick Revis Christ

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2007
    Messages:
    22,432
    Likes Received:
    3
    I have decided to take TEN -3, I got Baltimore +1, and NE -3.
     
  7. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
    Moderator

    Joined:
    May 3, 2004
    Messages:
    29,723
    Likes Received:
    1,053
    first pick:

    Denver/Cleveland UNDER 47.5 (line from 5 Dimes)
     
  8. Antoni

    Antoni Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2007
    Messages:
    2,185
    Likes Received:
    437
    Couldn't find Jets -7.5 line anymore today, looks like it's back to 9 everywhere.

    Also like the Seahawks +8, but I can't take it. Dolphins also coming off a huge road win and playing against a crappy team at home. We protect the ball better than the Jets but I don't think we should be favored by more than a TD against anyone yet, home or not
     
    #8 Antoni, Nov 6, 2008
    Last edited: Nov 6, 2008
  9. NDmick

    NDmick Revis Christ

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2007
    Messages:
    22,432
    Likes Received:
    3
    I took it on a 10 pick ticket, I expect a 6 pt win by the Fins. I got the line at +9. It just feels like one of those games where the Hawks find a way to play well enough to lose by one possession.
     
  10. Antoni

    Antoni Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2007
    Messages:
    2,185
    Likes Received:
    437
    Can't go wrong there. I was thinking about hedging my Bears +3 with Ten -2.5. Got a great line on the Bears so I won't get juiced, but really troublesome that despite heavy action on the Titans this line hasn't budged. I know 3 is an important number, but its concerning for sure
     
  11. NDmick

    NDmick Revis Christ

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2007
    Messages:
    22,432
    Likes Received:
    3
    I just don't think Ortons' ankle holds up in this game. The Bears know that someone in their division will be tied with them if they lose this game, so why risk putting Grossman on the field when he is mistake prone against a Defense that does nothing but cause QB turnovers.

    I think Orton's mobility will be a problem in this game, and Matt Forte will have nowhere to run. It comes down to the better defense. TEN wins 17-13.

    The line not moving is interesting, I wonder what they know about Orton's ankle, and what would the line be if Grossman was playing?
     
  12. NDmick

    NDmick Revis Christ

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2007
    Messages:
    22,432
    Likes Received:
    3
    Damn, I wish my ticket had the DEN game on it. I was going to bet against Quinn no matter what.

    I would have been shitting bricks all game, but in the end the -3 would have paid off.
     
  13. The Dark Knight

    The Dark Knight Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2004
    Messages:
    27,065
    Likes Received:
    14,286
    I picked up Quinn in Fantasy and got 75 points!
     
  14. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
    Moderator

    Joined:
    May 3, 2004
    Messages:
    29,723
    Likes Received:
    1,053
    ummm, he didn't have a great game fantasy-wise. I expected better. 238 yards and 2 TDs passing? Something like that.
     
  15. The Dark Knight

    The Dark Knight Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2004
    Messages:
    27,065
    Likes Received:
    14,286
    My league is nuts. With bonuses left and right, QB Rating gets points. I don't get it really.
     
  16. NDmick

    NDmick Revis Christ

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2007
    Messages:
    22,432
    Likes Received:
    3
    I just read about the Raiders moves... take Carolina -9.... shit, take Carolina -24. This game should be like the Falcons.
     
  17. NDmick

    NDmick Revis Christ

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2007
    Messages:
    22,432
    Likes Received:
    3
    perfect picks right here

    TEN
    DEN
    JAX
    BAL

    all covered

    add this too.
     
  18. slowmoe57

    slowmoe57 New Member

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2004
    Messages:
    801
    Likes Received:
    0
    OUCH 1-7 -- so far
     

Share This Page