JethroTull, I know you already started a thread about this, but I felt the topic deserved a little more meat on the bone. So here is my take on the subject. There is going to be a lot of competition getting a QB next year and there may not be that many choices at the top after next season. It seems every year a few top names have unproductive years or players get in trouble or both (Kelly), and they drop from a sure thing to a 6-7 round pick. Yet, there is always a Wentz or Trubisky who rises up and is the darling of the draft. It seems everyone on this board and in the media are projecting the Jets, Browns, 49ers/Redskins, Cardinals, and even possible the Rams may all be drafting a QB high next year. Yes Rams, Goff (54.7% comp, 5 TD, 7 INT, 5 Fumbles) had a bad year and like Hack he isn’t catching on fast, and if he sucks this year and the Rams are able, they may be forced to draft another QB. Early look at some of the 2018 sure thing QBs the media is talking about. Sam Darnold Positives: He smart, has the size, arm strength and is very accurate with 67% comp rate. Had 31 TDs to only 9 INTs with only 6 sacks. That’s right, only 6 sacks in 13 games. Negative: From USC and may not declare for draft in 2018. I hate USC QBs, but if this kid can improve even slightly this year, he would be an incredible prospect and top of his class. Mason Rudolph Positives: Has the size, arm and accurate. Great TD/INT ratio and YPA average. Negative: Doesn’t make many reads and runs the spread offense. Even in his fast paced offense, he still gives up 30 sacks a year. Luke Falk Positives: Good size and arm. Will be a 4 year starter and completes 70% of his throws. Over last two years he has a 4/1 TD/INT ratio. Has averaged 4500 yards passing the last two years. Negatives: Purely pocket QB who has given up 66 sacks over the last two years. Many scouts don’t have him listed anywhere near this high. Jake Browning Positives: Will be a 3 year starter and had 43 TDs to 9 INTs last year. Good accuracy, average size and pocket QB. Negatives: Average size, purely pocket QB and averages 2 sacks a game. Josh Rosen Positives: Will be a 3 year starter and very athletic with live arm. Good pocket presence and only given up 28 sacks over first two years. Negatives: Coming back from injury, just under a 60% Comp rate and each year he has had a 2/1, TD/INT rate. In the pros 2/1 is a good rato, but in college it’s nothing to brag about. Lamar Jackson Positives: He can move good, put up a lot of rushing yards and is a two way threat to score. Produced 30 Tds and only 9 Ints passing with 21 TDs on the ground. Negatives: Relies on his legs too much, and needs to improve his completion percentage and accuracy or he won't succeed in the NFL. Over two season he has only averaging 55% comp rate. He has bad pocket presence and was sacked 46 times in last 13 games. Josh Allen Positives: Good size and arm. Scouts and the media think he will have a good season and improve. Negatives: Gives up way too many sacks (27). Needs to improve on accuracy and interceptions. Runs with the ball once for every two pass attempts, but only averages 3.7 yards per rush. In the NFL that would be two punishing on your QB for the small reward and chance of injury. Tanner Mangum Positives: Only a junior but started in 2015 and came in as starter for end of 2016. Completes 60% of passes Negatives: Gives up quite a few sack and don’t expect much from his legs. Out of 72 rushing attempts he has managed 3 TDs but a grand total of -74 yards. Steven Montez Positives: His BIG and strong and some media people think he may be poised for a big year. Negatives: Raw and best thing going for him is his size. When he hot he is good and very accurate, but when he is off, he is horrible. Unless he has a HUGE year, he should stay for another year at Colorado. My priority list, when looking at a QB prospect. 1. I place accuracy as the top priority. If you can’t beat college DBs how can you expect to beat NFL DBs? If you are throwing 17 INTs in a span of 12 college games, against college level DBs, things are going to be rough for you in the pros. 2. Do you need a great supporting cast? When you're drafted early, one thing is for sure, you will be going to a shitty team and there will be little help available. Many QBs like Watson, had their play raised by top college talent, while others like Trubisky has to carry their team. Just one reason Trubisky was the 1st QB drafted, while Watson was the 3rd QB off the board. 3. Can you read defenses, and call audible? Many QBs are hand fed from the sideline and throw to their 1st or 2nd option. They need to be able to go through a progression and hit the 3rd or 4th option. 4. Are you a pocket QB? I like a QB that can scramble when needed, but the safest play is in the pocket. Too many QBs rely on their legs and never develop the pocket awareness or get hurt way too often running. Look no further than RG3 or Kaepernick, both were once considered rising starts in the NFL. 5. Do you have experience in a pro-style offense? Did you take any hikes from under center? This is a no for most college QBs since the spread offense is the choice at almost every college. More importantly, can you learn a pro offense. In most cases I guess we won’t know until after you’re drafted. *There are a lot of QB still out there not on my list and there will always be your one year wonders that pop up, but if you like another QB, reply below and give a quick note why. If you want to bash my post, go ahead, at least it means you read it. On a side note; Sportingnews has listed their first mock draft for 2018 and the Jets would finally get their QB of the future. 1. New York Jets: Sam Darnold, QB, USC “Projected to the be the top quarterback in the 2018 NFL Draft, Darnold’s Rose Bowl performance against Penn State has already won over NFL decision makers. As long as he continues to improve, he’ll be the first quarterback selected.” Walterfootball.com has it that the Los Angeles Rams draft Sam Darnold #1 overall. I did mention this happening if Goff sucks this year. CBSsports was the Browns drafting Darnold #1. Can we start the “Suck for Sam” chants yet? Seriously, I would rather have Hack come out this year and light it up and prove me wrong, so we don’t have to waste next year’s draft pick on a QB or worse, trade away a couple first round pick to move up and get him. Thanks for reading this far.