Bowles is getting a lot of grief over going for 2. But even though it's intuitive to think he should have kicked an extra point and kept it to a one score game, he actually did the right thing. When Bowles went for 2, we were down by 2, and there was enough time left for a few more possessions. There are four cases. 1: Nobody scores for the rest of the game. 2: The Bills score and we don't (which is what happened). 3: The Bills score and then we score. 4: The Bills don't score a touchdown, but they get a field goal. To keep things simple, I'll assume an extra point has a 100% chance of success and a 2 point conversion has a 50% chance. In reality the numbers are more like 94% and 48%, which means my assumption is actually being generous to the extra point. In Case 1, by going for the extra point we lose every time by 1 point. By going for 2, half the time we lose by 2 points and half the time we go into overtime. In overtime let's assume we have a 50% chance of winning. Then by going for 2, we give ourselves a 25% chance of winning the game, as opposed to a 0% chance by kicking the extra point. In Case 2, we lose by several points no matter what we do, so it's irrelevant. In Case 3, if we go for 1, we'll be down by 8. We then score and have to go for 2. So half the time we go into overtime and half the time we lose by 2. OTOH if we go for 2, half the time we'll be down by 7. Then we score, kick the extra point, and go into overtime. The other half, we'll be down by 9, and we'll lose. So no matter what we do, we have a 50% chance of going into overtime and a 50% chance of losing. Actually going for 2 early might be a good thing if we fail early, there's still a very slim chance we can kick a quick field goal, recover an onside kick, and then get the game winning touchdown. Whereas if we go for 2 late and fail, we won't know 2 scores really were necessary until it's too late. Finally in Case 4, kicking the extra point doesn't help us because there's no difference between being down 4 (making the extra point and conceding a field goal) and being down 5 (failing the 2 point conversion and conceding a field goal). But a successful 2 point conversion allows us to kick a game tying field goal if our drive stalls. In conclusion, burn Bowles for punting on 4th and 7 and coaching an abysmal defense. But don't burn him for the one thing he did right.