[Yisman]

vbookie:

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[displacedfan]

I believe there is stat or something floating around that all 4 home teams have not swept the weekend in a while.

[CJLang]

Originally Posted by displacedfan

I believe there is stat or something floating around that all 4 home teams have not swept the weekend in a while.

I think the best bet for road wins are GB and Seattle. I was behind SF for the last week, but I just have a feeling GB will beat them this time.

[soxxx]

Texans @ Broncos
Seahawks @ GreenBay

I have 3 road teams winning.

[Yisman]

Originally Posted by CJLang

I think the best bet for road wins are GB and Seattle.

I don't think there's any question about that. Seattle is a better team than Atlanta and Green Bay is about as good as SF. Home field of course plays a part though.
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Nothing is ever guaranteed in the NFL. There is a reason for the phrase "any given Sunday." The history of the NFL postseason, in particular the recent history, is filled with surprising upsets. Nevertheless, it is difficult to remember a year when one conference championship game seemed as predetermined as the New England Patriots at the Denver Broncos, aka Brady-Manning XIV. The Patriots and Broncos finished as two of the top dozen teams in DVOA history. Their opponents, Baltimore and Houston, ranked eighth and 11th in DVOA, respectively. The Broncos had only one game all year with a single-game DVOA below 0%. The Patriots had only two such games. The Ravens and Texans each had eight.

Each of these games features a DVOA gap of over 25 percentage points. It's hard to find another year where one conference's Divisional round had two matchups where the gap was even 15 percentage points of DVOA. I went back through our numbers to look for another year in which the Divisional round featured two teams with DVOA over 25% hosting two teams with DVOA below 10%. There's only one: 1997, when the NFC Divisional round featured Green Bay (29.7%) hosting Tampa Bay (8.0%) and San Francisco (27.5%) hosting Minnesota (-4.6%). Just like with this year's AFC, these teams had played each other in December, when Green Bay beat Tampa Bay 17-6 and San Francisco beat Minnesota 28-17. A few weeks later in the playoffs, Green Bay beat Tampa Bay 21-7 and San Francisco beat Minnesota 38-22.

[displacedfan]

Originally Posted by CJLang

I think the best bet for road wins are GB and Seattle. I was behind SF for the last week, but I just have a feeling GB will beat them this time.

Agreed on both. Although I have more confidence in GB pulling the upset than Seattle for some reason.

[CJLang]

Originally Posted by displacedfan

Agreed on both. Although I have more confidence in GB pulling the upset than Seattle for some reason.

I think GB will have to play great to win. Frisco will be tough. Smith's effectiveness is a real issue. It comes down to frisco getting after rodgers or not IMO.

I still think the Falcons could implode. Until they prove otherwise, I have little faith in them in a big game.

[Brooklyn]

If Broncos win tonight, I will root for Pats tomorrow.

I want to watch Peyton kicking Brady's ass in the AFC Champ Game.

By the way, 2 awesome games today. Can't wait.

[2insane]

Broncos 7-0 on a punt return.

[Gang Greener]

Chris Rainey can be our Trindon Holiday. Track speeeeeeeeed. Too bad we love to fair catch.

[displacedfan]

That was quick. It seemed like the announcers didn't realize he was gone until he got past the punter

[2insane]

A muff on the kickoff return

[Yisman]

In a surprising twist, their special teams is what is costing the Ravens the game.

Allowed punt return TD and then Jones buried the Ravens inside their own 10.

Baltimore had great ST during the season.

[2insane]

Ravens got a first down by PI.

[2insane]

Originally Posted by Yisman

In a surprising twist, their special teams is what is costing the Ravens the game.

Allowed punt return TD and then Jones buried the Ravens inside their own 10.

Baltimore had great ST during the season.

Expect the unexpected

[2insane]

Champ got toasted

[Brooklyn]

Wow

TD T.Smith

7-7

[ArmandJ]

Come on, Broncos...

[Brooklyn]

Anyone else hating Ravens like me?

[Realistic Jets Fan]

Go texans

beat those cheaters