The Preakness

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by CBG, May 18, 2018.

  1. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    ok guys 8 horse field,,,,,what do you got ? Hard to bet against Justify after that last performance . The track looks to be WET again,,,,,Im looking at the favorite and 3 others right now,,trying to narrow it down to 3 horses instead of 4. Im leaning towards Justify ,Lone Sailor and Diamond King and throwing out Bravazo
     
  2. BrowningNagle

    BrowningNagle Well-Known Member

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    I have no clue which horse to bet and I am still licking my wounds from getting destroyed at the Derby but I think it would be a smart bet to do an exacta box with Justify and a long(er) shot.
     
  3. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    only problem with that Browning is it will pay very little,,,you have to hope that the long shot actually beats Justify for it to pay something. I might just wing it with triple boxes and superfecta boxes myself
     
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  4. The Waterboy

    The Waterboy Well-Known Member

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    Being Justify is such a big favorite I am keying somewhat of long shots in my first 2 spots over the rest of the field including Justify.

    Lone Sailor and Bravazo, so 2/8, 2/8 over 1,3,4,5,6,7
    I believe it is only a $12 bet on a $1 Tri, would rather lose $12 taking a chance on a long shot over spending the same $12 on a favorite to maybe win $15
     
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  5. The Dark Knight

    The Dark Knight Well-Known Member

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    I'm worried about a lack of pay out for Trifectas and Superfectas. That is how I play. Go big or go home. If Justify wins, and only 7 other horses running, it would make those payouts not too impressive. How do I handle that, @CBG?
     
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  6. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    TDK ,Heres how I look at it you can bet $100 on Justify to win andget back $50 or less if he wins or you can exacta him with Good Magic with a similar payout = not much. Or------> you can roll the dice and bet a few Triple boxes ( same for the superfecta ) and hope you get it right, if Justify wins it will still pay out , so long as you have the correct tribox or superfecta box and if somehow some one beats Justify the payout will be better and Bigger. Now let me know if you have the horses to put in my damn boxes so I can win also , lol
     
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  7. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Im with you,,,,,,still not sure how Im going to play this but I might just box 2-4-7-8----the weather is supposed to be a mess again, I will take a look at that during the day to see whats happening. I might Throw $ome fazool$ on Lone Sailor to show as I think he had a terrible trip in the derby and also lost a damn shoe and still managed to finish 8th
     
  8. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    weather EDIT HERE = Will be an issue for this race,,,,just sayin
     
    #8 CBG, May 19, 2018
    Last edited: May 19, 2018
  9. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Preakness is here,,,I switched it up last minute heres what I go with total co$t 132 dollars for CBG
    # 7Justify
    # 5 Good Magic
    # 4 Diamond King
    # 2 Lone sailor

    All my bets revolve around 2-4-5-7 ---> I put the 8 back in a few wagers to cover my ass lol

    $5 triple 7-5-2
    $5 triple 7-5-4
    $5 triple 5-7-2
    $5 triple 5-7-4
    $5 triple 4-7-5
    $5 triple 4-5-7
    $5 triple 7-5-8
    $5 triple 5-7-8= $40

    $1 tri box 2-4-5-7 = $24

    $1 Superfecta box 2-4-5-7 = $24
    $1 Superfecta Box 2-5-7-8 = $24

    $5 Superfecta 7-5-4-2= $5
    $5 Superfecta 7-5-2–4=$5
    $5 Superfecta 5-7-2-4= $5
    $5 Superfecta 5-7-4-2 + $5 = $20

    Good Luck all
     
    #9 CBG, May 19, 2018
    Last edited: May 19, 2018
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  10. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    The Preakness will be similar to the Derby ,Its being run in slop it is pouring there ,,,, place you wagers accordingly bet the MUDDAS!!!!!
    Good luck to all
     
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  11. The Waterboy

    The Waterboy Well-Known Member

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    Well I'm not driving an hour each way to place a bet so I will either save $12 or miss out on a hundred or so. No OTB's in Florida.
     
  12. DHarris52

    DHarris52 Active Member

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    As much as it pains me to say it, not sure there is any money to be made today. Justify is head and shoulders above this field.

    The way I see it there are only two possible plays:

    1.) Completely throw Justify out of your exactas and trifectas and hope that maybe the foot injury is worse than Baffert has let on. This is the high risk/high reward route and basically should be looked at like buying a lottery ticket.

    Or

    2.) $200 to win on the #7 and just be content with winning dinner.
     
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  13. The Dark Knight

    The Dark Knight Well-Known Member

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    That is how I have felt too. Still made some bets though. We will see how it goes!
     
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  14. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Harris there is always money to be LOST or WON lol,,,,,I just can't see throwing Justify out of any exotic bets .
     
  15. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    He won’t win the Belmont
     
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  16. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    You are correct FJay a longer race he loses , the 8 was coming and Audible would have beaten him had the Derby been longer,,but Props to Justify, a good win,,,,ps this triple and superfecta will pay off nice 7-8-6-5
     
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  17. The Dark Knight

    The Dark Knight Well-Known Member

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    Shit I had 7-8-1-5! So close to the 7-8-6-5 Superfecta!
     
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  18. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    I had it 7-8-5-2-----> it came in 7-8-6-5-2 damn 6
     
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  19. joe

    joe Well-Known Member

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    Bravazo, Tenfold and Good Magic were really closing at the wire.......................................good race!

    [​IMG]


    .
     
  20. Ralebird

    Ralebird Well-Known Member

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    You may be interested in Twinspiresdotcom. It is run by Churchill Downs and it won't make you even get out of bed. Easy transfer of funds from a bank account, Paypal or a few other methods. Maybe too easy. They also will send emails with free bet opportunities - which kept me from being a total loser on the Preakness. Figuring Justify would win they gave a $10 credit for betting if you placed a $10 Win bet on any other horse and that horse placed second - I picked the 8 horse. There was also a $10 credit for placing $25 in any Preakness bets after a $50 deposit.

    There's a promo now that will get anyone I refer a free $10 bet when they sign up - I get one too. Anybody interested just DM me and I'll send the info.
     
    #20 Ralebird, May 20, 2018
    Last edited: May 20, 2018
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