Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    also...there is warm air about 50 miles off the coast with this storm..it would take very little for this to become an all out sleet storm mixing with rain..which would end up being a piece of cake compared to the way its modeled today.
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    One last thing until I look at the overnights...the reason Im not going ape crap on this is because the low level warmer air being shown just off the coast? Well...I cant see how that doesnt impact this storm unless future models show this storm borderline historic...or close to. This storm would really need to bomb out to give areas east of 195 and south of i80..and Im talking at least west of those highways..50 miles major snow with no mixing issues. I would use that as a saving grace...but the models are saying thats bull...lets see how it plays out overnight.
     
    #7582 jaywayne12, Nov 22, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 22, 2014
  3. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Totally agree with that...a true recipe for getting sick..and me downing Advil cold and sinus as we speak. Not use to this crap yet...take away the snow and I truly hate it.
     
  4. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Thanks for all the updates Jay. We will be on the look out.
     
  5. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    no problem Brook!!...euro coming out now.
     
  6. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Jay

    Wake up, have a good breakfast and then let us know what the Euro and GFS said :)
     
  7. grumpynyjetsfaninME

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    Hi jay.. so whats the weather looking like for the dec 1 game looking like.. i dont think it will be 68° at kick off again... like it was last year when i went to the browns game
     
  8. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    looks like the gfs is starting to agree with the euro. we are staring at a white thanksgiving
     
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  9. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Fla updates appreciated,,,,,already put relatives in standby they might be heading to CBG s house on Wednesday ,,,keep me coming guys ps local weather guys till are not buying in
     
  10. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Thanks fla

    Is North Jersey in the 2-4 range or 10-12 range?
     
  11. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    thats weather 202
    i am still in weather 101, i will let jay sort out the details brook
    lol
     
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  12. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    damn GFS always comes around late..I know the bias...you know the bias...hell..everyone that reads this knows the bias but our government cant get a model that compares to the EURO.

    Euro just came out...shows 10 to 16 for everyone WEST of I95...NOW..CHILL FOR A SECOND. What the models cant do..well..they can..but its hard..is say..well its 33 and snowing..what is the snow ratio? Right now a wet snow..so ratios could be almost half that..meaning a 5 to 8 heavy wet snow..or maybe not.

    The greatest blizzard of all time in my mind was the blizzard of 96...1.6 inches of precip fell..meaning 10 to 1....16 inches of snow right? We all know wrong...over 30 fell in many areas because temps were in the mid teens..so just taking a look at temps now..give me a few.
     
  13. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    just updated....this is a real tough call for CBG...Brook..FJF might be in a mostly snow spot...me...lol...very tough call. Have seen the weather channel maps...not buying into that yet..so..heres my thinking:

    http://jaysweather.net/
     
  14. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    ugh, any other day i would be pumped, i am going to get called in thursday morning as it sits now, going to miss the traditional thanksgiving morning hunt.
     
  15. Greenday4537

    Greenday4537 Well-Known Member

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    Things are looking good for me so far. Rain/storms tonight/tomorrow morning with even warmer weather.

    Maybe some rain later Wednesday.
     
  16. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    Looks like I'm in the crosshairs Jay.
     
  17. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Everyone is all over the place with this,,,local guys said nothing yesterday and today they hedged somewhat,,weather app says nothing,,,,,weather channel says snow,,,,,,,,news tonight says " we have to watch " ,,,,this is great stuff,,,,,,,so what's the latest ?
     
  18. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Psbweather channel just said that this thing sets up off the coast but latest models have it out over the ocean and too far out to sea,,,any truth to this ?
     
  19. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    hey C,6 p.m. gfs model has it right on the coast, TWC isn't really buying calling for light snow for me,1-3 total. accuweather just went all in calling for 6-10. i'd expect something of an inconvenience at best for thursday morning
     
    #7599 FJF, Nov 23, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 23, 2014
  20. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    CBG...right off the coast and 100 miles off the coast is a huge difference with this storm..huge. Anyone that thinks they have the location of that low pressure right now is on drugs. No model agreement. If this center ends up 100 to 150 miles off the coast..WHICH IS VERY POSSIBLE...then many areas get a foot of snow or more.

    Checking models now.
     

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