Green Hurricane
05-09-2006, 04:17 PM
I've been doing this for a few years, and have been rather accurate surprisingly enough. I wasn't able to save my thread from last year before the big wipeout, but I assure you that it was very good.
The two things that I really focus on when I do it are, first, where the player was drafted and how previours, similar players were rated, and second, the value of the pick. The madden raters don't just go blindly by order, they infuse their own beliefs on rookies. For example, Mike Williams at 83 while Troy Williamson was 80. My gut says that they already had the ratings for the players pre-draft, then just put them into the game development once the teams were determined.
Anyway, first off are my ratings for this year's class (madden 07), and following that are the REAL LIFE ratings of the rookies from the 05 (madden 06) and 04 (madden 05) classes.
PROJECTED: 2006- Madden 07
06 Round 1
1 DE Williams 84
2 RB Bush 85
3 QB Young 82
4 OT Ferguson 83
5 LB Hawk 83
6 TE Davis 84
7 S Huff 82
8 S Whitner 80
9 LB Sims 81
10 QB Leinart 81
11 QB Cutler 79
12 DT Ngata 81
13 LB Wimbley 80
14 DT Bunkley 82
15 CB Hill 80
16 CB Allen 78
17 LB Greenway 81
18 LB Carpenter 79
19 CB Cromartie 79
20 DE Hali 78
21 RB Maroney 81
22 LB Lawson 80
23 OG D Joseph 81
24 CB J Joseph 77
25 WR Holmes 79
26 DT McCargo 76
27 RB D Williams 80
28 TE Lewis 80
29 OC Mangold 81
30 RB Addai 78
31 CB K Jennings 78
32 DE Kiwanuka 79
06 Round 2
1 LB Ryans 78
2 LB D Jackson 79
3 LB McIntosh 77
4 WR C Jackson 78
5 CB J Williams 79
6 LB Howard 76
7 OT Justice 78
8 S Bullocks 78
9 OG Lutui 77
10 S Manning 76
11 S Harper 75
12 WR Moss 77
13 RB White 78
14 TE Klopfenstein 76
15 OT Colledge 76
16 CB Griffin 75
17 QB Clemens 76
18 OT McNeill 77
19 OC Cook 74
20 WR G Jennings 75
21 TE Fasano 75
22 S Pollard 74
23 OT Whitworth 75
24 OC Chester 75
25 WR/CB Hester 74
26 CB Marshall 76
27 OT Trueblood 74
28 RB Drew 76
29 TE Scheffler 73
30 CB T Jennings 73
31 DE Tapp 75
32 QB T Jackson 71
06 Round 3
1 OG Spencer 74
2 OT Winston 75
3 LB Hodge 75
4 DT Wroten 74
5 OG McQuistan 72
6 CB Youboty 75
7 DE Gocong 74
8 TE Pope 76
9 DT Dvoracek 73
10 RB Calhoun 74
11 OC Spitz 71
12 LB Schlegel 72
13 LB Alston 73
14 WR Wilson 71
15 RB Norwood 73
16 LB Ingram 74
17 QB Whitehurst 74
18 WR Hagan 73
19 S A Smith 75
20 WR Williams 74
21 QB Croyle 73
22 TE D Thomas 72
23 CB Pittman 71
24 LB Anderson 70
25 OT Butler 72
26 WR Stovall 76
27 DE Rucker 74
28 DE Hatcher 72
29 TE Byrd 75
30 LB Keiaho 72
31 WR Reid 71
32 LB Wilkinson 73
33 S E Smith 72
REAL: 2005- Madden 06
05 Round 1
1 QB A Smith 82
2 RB R Brown 84
3 WR Edwards 84
4 RB Benson 83
5 RB Williams 83
6 CB Jones 82
7 WR Williamson 80
8 CB Rolle 83
9 CB Rogers 80
10 WR M Williams 83
11 LB Ware 81
12 LB Merriman 82
13 OT J Brown 80
14 S T Davis 81
15 LB D Johnson 84
16 DE T Johnson 81
17 LB Pollack 80
18 DE James 82
19 OT Barron 79
20 DE Spears 81
21 WR Jones 78
22 WR Clayton 80
23 CB Washington 78
24 QB Rodgers 80
25 QB Campbell 78
26 OC Spencer 80
27 WR White 77
28 DT Castillo 80
29 CB Jackson 77
30 TE Miller 81
31 DT Patterson 80
32 OG Mankins 80
05 Round 2
1 OG Baas 79
2 S Pool 78
3 WR R Brown 77
4 LB Ruud 77
5 DT Cody 78
6 CB Routt 74
7 WR Bradley 76
8 S Bullocks 78
9 OT Roos 75
10 LB Burnett 76
11 CB Webster 76
12 RB Arrington 77
13 LB Tatupu 75
14 DE Roth 79
15 K Nugent 84
16 LB Thurman 75
17 OG Johnson 77
18 CB Bartell 73
19 S Collins 72
20 OT Barnes 76
21 LB Cody 77
22 RB Shelton 75
23 WR Parrish 75
24 CB D Williams 75
25 CB J Miller 75
26 WR T Murphy 75
27 DT Babineaux 75
28 CB Hayden 71
29 WR V Jackson 74
30 CB McFadden 74
31 LB McCoy 75
32 OT Terry
05 Round 3
1 RB Gore 76
2 S Atogwe 74
3 QB Frye 74
4 WR Roby 73
5 QB Walter 73
6 LB Crowder 73
7 TE A Smith 76
8 CB Wilson 72
9 RB Morency 75
10 DE Tuck 75
11 CB Green 72
12 CB Paymah 71
13 RB Moats 77
14 LB Morrison 73
15 OG Mathis 74
16 S Fox 73
17 OG Incognito 74
18 LB Fincher NA
19 WR Henry 74
20 CB Hobbs NA
21 QB Greene 72
22 TE Everett 75
23 CB Starks 72
24 DT Pouha 72
25 DT Ellison NA
26 LB Beck 71
27 OT Colmer 73
28 DT Burns NA
29 OT Essex 73
30 OG Snyder 73
31 LB Blackstock 72
32 WR B Jones 73
33 CB Foxworth NA
34 LB Hill NA
35 P Colquitt 83
36 OT Kaczur NA
37 RB Clarett 73
REAL: 2004- Madden 05
04 Round 1
1 QB Manning 81
2 OT Gallery 83
3 WR Fitzgerald 84
4 QB Rivers 79
5 TE Winslow 85
6 S Taylor 85
7 WR Ro Williams 83
8 CB Hall 82
9 WR Re Williams 80
10 CB Robinson 81
11 QB Roethlisberger 79
12 LB Vilma 81
13 WR Evans 79
14 DT Harris 82
15 WR Clayton 76
16 OG Andrews 82
17 LB DJ Williams 81
18 DE W Smith 80
19 OT Carey 77
20 DE Udeze 81
21 DT Wilfork 80
22 QB Losman 75
23 DT Tubbs 78
24 RB Jackson 80
25 CB Carroll 76
26 RB Perry 78
27 LB Babin 74
28 CB Gamble 77
29 WR Jenkins 75
30 RB K Jones 78
31 WR R Woods 77
32 TE Watson 79
04 Round 2
1 LB Dansby 76
2 OG Snee 76
3 DE Olshansky 75
4 DT Siavii 75
5 LB Lehman 75
6 CB Colclough 73
7 LB D Smith 76
8 TE Troupe 80
9 RB Bell 74
10 DE LaBoy 77
11 RB J Jones 74
12 S Sanders 79
13 OC Grove 75
14 OG Smiley 77
15 DT T Johnson NA
16 LB D Thomas 76
17 CB Ratliff 72
18 WR Henderson 74
19 DT Edwards 74
20 OT Rogers 75
21 S Boulware 70
22 WR Watts 71
23 FB Jones 75
24 S Williams 73
25 DE Odom 75
26 CB Spencer 71
27 S Jones 76
28 LB Watson 71
29 TE Wilson 71
30 WR Colbert 71
31 DE Hill 76
The two things that I really focus on when I do it are, first, where the player was drafted and how previours, similar players were rated, and second, the value of the pick. The madden raters don't just go blindly by order, they infuse their own beliefs on rookies. For example, Mike Williams at 83 while Troy Williamson was 80. My gut says that they already had the ratings for the players pre-draft, then just put them into the game development once the teams were determined.
Anyway, first off are my ratings for this year's class (madden 07), and following that are the REAL LIFE ratings of the rookies from the 05 (madden 06) and 04 (madden 05) classes.
PROJECTED: 2006- Madden 07
06 Round 1
1 DE Williams 84
2 RB Bush 85
3 QB Young 82
4 OT Ferguson 83
5 LB Hawk 83
6 TE Davis 84
7 S Huff 82
8 S Whitner 80
9 LB Sims 81
10 QB Leinart 81
11 QB Cutler 79
12 DT Ngata 81
13 LB Wimbley 80
14 DT Bunkley 82
15 CB Hill 80
16 CB Allen 78
17 LB Greenway 81
18 LB Carpenter 79
19 CB Cromartie 79
20 DE Hali 78
21 RB Maroney 81
22 LB Lawson 80
23 OG D Joseph 81
24 CB J Joseph 77
25 WR Holmes 79
26 DT McCargo 76
27 RB D Williams 80
28 TE Lewis 80
29 OC Mangold 81
30 RB Addai 78
31 CB K Jennings 78
32 DE Kiwanuka 79
06 Round 2
1 LB Ryans 78
2 LB D Jackson 79
3 LB McIntosh 77
4 WR C Jackson 78
5 CB J Williams 79
6 LB Howard 76
7 OT Justice 78
8 S Bullocks 78
9 OG Lutui 77
10 S Manning 76
11 S Harper 75
12 WR Moss 77
13 RB White 78
14 TE Klopfenstein 76
15 OT Colledge 76
16 CB Griffin 75
17 QB Clemens 76
18 OT McNeill 77
19 OC Cook 74
20 WR G Jennings 75
21 TE Fasano 75
22 S Pollard 74
23 OT Whitworth 75
24 OC Chester 75
25 WR/CB Hester 74
26 CB Marshall 76
27 OT Trueblood 74
28 RB Drew 76
29 TE Scheffler 73
30 CB T Jennings 73
31 DE Tapp 75
32 QB T Jackson 71
06 Round 3
1 OG Spencer 74
2 OT Winston 75
3 LB Hodge 75
4 DT Wroten 74
5 OG McQuistan 72
6 CB Youboty 75
7 DE Gocong 74
8 TE Pope 76
9 DT Dvoracek 73
10 RB Calhoun 74
11 OC Spitz 71
12 LB Schlegel 72
13 LB Alston 73
14 WR Wilson 71
15 RB Norwood 73
16 LB Ingram 74
17 QB Whitehurst 74
18 WR Hagan 73
19 S A Smith 75
20 WR Williams 74
21 QB Croyle 73
22 TE D Thomas 72
23 CB Pittman 71
24 LB Anderson 70
25 OT Butler 72
26 WR Stovall 76
27 DE Rucker 74
28 DE Hatcher 72
29 TE Byrd 75
30 LB Keiaho 72
31 WR Reid 71
32 LB Wilkinson 73
33 S E Smith 72
REAL: 2005- Madden 06
05 Round 1
1 QB A Smith 82
2 RB R Brown 84
3 WR Edwards 84
4 RB Benson 83
5 RB Williams 83
6 CB Jones 82
7 WR Williamson 80
8 CB Rolle 83
9 CB Rogers 80
10 WR M Williams 83
11 LB Ware 81
12 LB Merriman 82
13 OT J Brown 80
14 S T Davis 81
15 LB D Johnson 84
16 DE T Johnson 81
17 LB Pollack 80
18 DE James 82
19 OT Barron 79
20 DE Spears 81
21 WR Jones 78
22 WR Clayton 80
23 CB Washington 78
24 QB Rodgers 80
25 QB Campbell 78
26 OC Spencer 80
27 WR White 77
28 DT Castillo 80
29 CB Jackson 77
30 TE Miller 81
31 DT Patterson 80
32 OG Mankins 80
05 Round 2
1 OG Baas 79
2 S Pool 78
3 WR R Brown 77
4 LB Ruud 77
5 DT Cody 78
6 CB Routt 74
7 WR Bradley 76
8 S Bullocks 78
9 OT Roos 75
10 LB Burnett 76
11 CB Webster 76
12 RB Arrington 77
13 LB Tatupu 75
14 DE Roth 79
15 K Nugent 84
16 LB Thurman 75
17 OG Johnson 77
18 CB Bartell 73
19 S Collins 72
20 OT Barnes 76
21 LB Cody 77
22 RB Shelton 75
23 WR Parrish 75
24 CB D Williams 75
25 CB J Miller 75
26 WR T Murphy 75
27 DT Babineaux 75
28 CB Hayden 71
29 WR V Jackson 74
30 CB McFadden 74
31 LB McCoy 75
32 OT Terry
05 Round 3
1 RB Gore 76
2 S Atogwe 74
3 QB Frye 74
4 WR Roby 73
5 QB Walter 73
6 LB Crowder 73
7 TE A Smith 76
8 CB Wilson 72
9 RB Morency 75
10 DE Tuck 75
11 CB Green 72
12 CB Paymah 71
13 RB Moats 77
14 LB Morrison 73
15 OG Mathis 74
16 S Fox 73
17 OG Incognito 74
18 LB Fincher NA
19 WR Henry 74
20 CB Hobbs NA
21 QB Greene 72
22 TE Everett 75
23 CB Starks 72
24 DT Pouha 72
25 DT Ellison NA
26 LB Beck 71
27 OT Colmer 73
28 DT Burns NA
29 OT Essex 73
30 OG Snyder 73
31 LB Blackstock 72
32 WR B Jones 73
33 CB Foxworth NA
34 LB Hill NA
35 P Colquitt 83
36 OT Kaczur NA
37 RB Clarett 73
REAL: 2004- Madden 05
04 Round 1
1 QB Manning 81
2 OT Gallery 83
3 WR Fitzgerald 84
4 QB Rivers 79
5 TE Winslow 85
6 S Taylor 85
7 WR Ro Williams 83
8 CB Hall 82
9 WR Re Williams 80
10 CB Robinson 81
11 QB Roethlisberger 79
12 LB Vilma 81
13 WR Evans 79
14 DT Harris 82
15 WR Clayton 76
16 OG Andrews 82
17 LB DJ Williams 81
18 DE W Smith 80
19 OT Carey 77
20 DE Udeze 81
21 DT Wilfork 80
22 QB Losman 75
23 DT Tubbs 78
24 RB Jackson 80
25 CB Carroll 76
26 RB Perry 78
27 LB Babin 74
28 CB Gamble 77
29 WR Jenkins 75
30 RB K Jones 78
31 WR R Woods 77
32 TE Watson 79
04 Round 2
1 LB Dansby 76
2 OG Snee 76
3 DE Olshansky 75
4 DT Siavii 75
5 LB Lehman 75
6 CB Colclough 73
7 LB D Smith 76
8 TE Troupe 80
9 RB Bell 74
10 DE LaBoy 77
11 RB J Jones 74
12 S Sanders 79
13 OC Grove 75
14 OG Smiley 77
15 DT T Johnson NA
16 LB D Thomas 76
17 CB Ratliff 72
18 WR Henderson 74
19 DT Edwards 74
20 OT Rogers 75
21 S Boulware 70
22 WR Watts 71
23 FB Jones 75
24 S Williams 73
25 DE Odom 75
26 CB Spencer 71
27 S Jones 76
28 LB Watson 71
29 TE Wilson 71
30 WR Colbert 71
31 DE Hill 76